Articles | Volume 24, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3789-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3789-2024
Research article
 | 
07 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 07 Nov 2024

Inundation and evacuation of shoreline populations during landslide-triggered tsunamis: an integrated numerical and statistical hazard assessment

Emmie Malika Bonilauri, Catherine Aaron, Matteo Cerminara, Raphaël Paris, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro, Benedetta Calusi, Domenico Mangione, and Andrew John Lang Harris

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Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment at Stromboli volcano: 1. Review of historical sources and expert elicitation findings
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This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
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Cited articles

Acocella, V., Neri, M., and Scarlato, P.: Understanding shallow magma emplacement at volcanoes: Orthogonal feeder dikes during the 2002–2003 Stromboli (Italy) eruption, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L17310, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026862, 2006. 
Boldini, D., Wang, F., Sassa, K., and Tommasi, P.: Mechanism of Landslide Causing the December 2002 Tsunami at Stromboli Volcano (Italy), in: Landslides: Risk Analysis and Sustainable Disaster Management, edited by: Sassa, K., Fukuoka, H., Wang, F., and Wang, G., Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 173–180, https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28680-2_21, 2005. 
Bonaccorso, A., Calvari, S., Garfì, G., Lodato, L., and Patanè, D.: Dynamics of the December 2002 flank failure and tsunami at Stromboli volcano inferred by volcanological and geophysical observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1941, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL017702, 2003. 
Bonilauri, E. M., Harris, A. J. L., Morin, J., Ripepe, M., Mangione, D., Lacanna, G., Ciolli, S., Cusolito, M., and Deguy, P.: Tsunami evacuation times and routes to safe zones: a GIS-based approach to tsunami evacuation planning on the island of Stromboli, Italy, J. Appl. Volcanol., 10, 4, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13617-021-00104-9, 2021. 
Calvari, S., Spampinato, L., Lodato, L., Harris, A. J. L., Patrick, M. R., Dehn, J., Burton, M. R., and Andronico, D.: Chronology and complex volcanic processes during the 2002–2003 flank eruption at Stromboli volcano (Italy) reconstructed from direct observations and surveys with a handheld thermal camera, J. Geophys. Res.-Solid, 110, B02201, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004JB003129, 2005. 
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Currently on the island of Stromboli, only 4 min of warning time is available for a locally generated tsunami. We combined tsunami simulations and human exposure to complete a risk analysis. We linked the predicted inundation area and the tsunami warning signals to assess the hazard posed by future tsunamis and to design escape routes to reach safe areas and to optimise evacuation times. Such products can be used by civil protection agencies on Stromboli.
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