Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 967–979, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-967-2020
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 967–979, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-967-2020
Research article
09 Apr 2020
Research article | 09 Apr 2020

The role of spatial dependence for large-scale flood risk estimation

Ayse Duha Metin et al.

Related authors

How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?
Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Björn Guse, Heiko Apel, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3089–3108, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
Interactions between precipitation, evapotranspiration and soil-moisture-based indices to characterize drought with high-resolution remote sensing and land-surface model data
Jaime Gaona, Pere Quintana-Seguí, María José Escorihuela, Aaron Boone, and María Carmen Llasat
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3461–3485, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3461-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3461-2022, 2022
Short summary
Rare flood scenarios for a rapidly growing high-mountain city: Pokhara, Nepal
Melanie Fischer, Jana Brettin, Sigrid Roessner, Ariane Walz, Monique Fort, and Oliver Korup
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3105–3123, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3105-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3105-2022, 2022
Short summary
Brief communication: Impact forecasting could substantially improve the emergency management of deadly floods: case study July 2021 floods in Germany
Heiko Apel, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3005–3014, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3005-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3005-2022, 2022
Short summary
Brief communication: Western Europe flood in 2021 – mapping agriculture flood exposure from synthetic aperture radar (SAR)
Kang He, Qing Yang, Xinyi Shen, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2921–2927, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2921-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2921-2022, 2022
Short summary
Comprehensive space–time hydrometeorological simulations for estimating very rare floods at multiple sites in a large river basin
Daniel Viviroli, Anna E. Sikorska-Senoner, Guillaume Evin, Maria Staudinger, Martina Kauzlaric, Jérémy Chardon, Anne-Catherine Favre, Benoit Hingray, Gilles Nicolet, Damien Raynaud, Jan Seibert, Rolf Weingartner, and Calvin Whealton
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2891–2920, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2891-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2891-2022, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Bianchi, A., Neal, J., Bates, P., and Feyen, L.: Advances in pan-European flood hazard mapping, Hydrol. Process., 28, 4067–4077, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9947, 2014. 
Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Dottori, F., and Bianchi, A.: Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios, Global Environ. Chang., 35, 199–212, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.004, 2015. 
Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., and Di Baldassarre, G.: Increasing flood risk under climate change: a pan-European assessment of the benefits of four adaptation strategies, Clim. Change, 136, 507–521, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1641-1, 2016. 
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., de Roo, A., Salamon, P., Wyser, K., and Feyen, L.: Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world, Earth's Futur., 5, 171–182, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000485, 2017. 
BKG: Digitales Landbedeckungsmodell für Deutschland – DLM-DE2009, Stand der Dokumentation: 30.03.2012, available at: https://sg.geodatenzentrum.de/web_public/gdz/dokumentation/deu/dlm-de2009.pdf (last access: 8 April 2020), 2012. 
Download
Short summary
For effective risk management, flood risk should be properly assessed. Traditionally, risk is assessed by making the assumption of invariant flow or loss probabilities (the chance that a given discharge or loss is exceeded) within the river catchment during a single flood event. However, in reality, flooding is more severe in some regions than others. This study indicates the importance of representing the spatial dependence of flood peaks and damage for risk assessments.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint