Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-967-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-967-2020
Research article
 | 
09 Apr 2020
Research article |  | 09 Apr 2020

The role of spatial dependence for large-scale flood risk estimation

Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Björn Guse, Heidi Kreibich, and Bruno Merz

Related authors

How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?
Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Björn Guse, Heiko Apel, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3089–3108, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
Compound droughts under climate change in Switzerland
Christoph Nathanael von Matt, Regula Muelchi, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Olivia Martius
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1975–2001, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1975-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1975-2024, 2024
Short summary
Brief communication: SWM – stochastic weather model for precipitation-related hazard assessments using ERA5-Land data
Melody Gwyneth Whitehead and Mark Stephen Bebbington
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1929–1935, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024, 2024
Short summary
Text mining uncovers the unique dynamics of socio-economic impacts of the 2018–2022 multi-year drought in Germany
Jan Sodoge, Christian Kuhlicke, Miguel D. Mahecha, and Mariana Madruga de Brito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1757–1777, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1757-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1757-2024, 2024
Short summary
The value of multi-source data for improved flood damage modelling with explicit input data uncertainty treatment: INSYDE 2.0
Mario Di Bacco, Daniela Molinari, and Anna Rita Scorzini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1681–1696, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1681-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1681-2024, 2024
Short summary
Limited effect of the confluence angle and tributary gradient on Alpine confluence morphodynamics under intense sediment loads
Théo St. Pierre Ostrander, Thomé Kraus, Bruno Mazzorana, Johannes Holzner, Andrea Andreoli, Francesco Comiti, and Bernhard Gems
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1607–1634, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1607-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1607-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Bianchi, A., Neal, J., Bates, P., and Feyen, L.: Advances in pan-European flood hazard mapping, Hydrol. Process., 28, 4067–4077, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9947, 2014. 
Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Dottori, F., and Bianchi, A.: Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios, Global Environ. Chang., 35, 199–212, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.004, 2015. 
Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., and Di Baldassarre, G.: Increasing flood risk under climate change: a pan-European assessment of the benefits of four adaptation strategies, Clim. Change, 136, 507–521, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1641-1, 2016. 
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., de Roo, A., Salamon, P., Wyser, K., and Feyen, L.: Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world, Earth's Futur., 5, 171–182, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000485, 2017. 
BKG: Digitales Landbedeckungsmodell für Deutschland – DLM-DE2009, Stand der Dokumentation: 30.03.2012, available at: https://sg.geodatenzentrum.de/web_public/gdz/dokumentation/deu/dlm-de2009.pdf (last access: 8 April 2020), 2012. 
Download
Short summary
For effective risk management, flood risk should be properly assessed. Traditionally, risk is assessed by making the assumption of invariant flow or loss probabilities (the chance that a given discharge or loss is exceeded) within the river catchment during a single flood event. However, in reality, flooding is more severe in some regions than others. This study indicates the importance of representing the spatial dependence of flood peaks and damage for risk assessments.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint