Articles | Volume 18, issue 11
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2991–3006, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2991-2018
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2991–3006, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2991-2018

Research article 12 Nov 2018

Research article | 12 Nov 2018

The role of serial European windstorm clustering for extreme seasonal losses as determined from multi-centennial simulations of high-resolution global climate model data

Matthew D. K. Priestley et al.

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Cited articles

Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., and Keenlyside, N.: Will Extratropical Storms Intensify in a Warmer Climate?, J. Climate, 22, 2276–2301, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2678.1, 2009. a
Bjerknes, J. and Solberg, H.: Life cycle of cyclones and the polar front theory of atmospheric circulation., Geophysisks Publikationer, 3, 3–18, 1922. a
Catto, J. L., Shaffrey, L. C., and Hodges, K. I.: Can Climate Models Capture the Structure of Extratropical Cyclones?, J. Climate, 23, 1621–1635, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3318.1, 2010. a, b
Catto, J. L., Shaffrey, L. C., and Hodges, K. I.: Northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones in a warming climate in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model, J. Climate, 24, 5336–5352, https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4181.1, 2011. a, b, c
Center for International Earth Science Information Network – CIESIN – Columbia University: Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 10, https://doi.org/10.7927/H4DZ068D, 2017. a, b
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This study investigates the role of the clustering of extratropical cyclones in driving wintertime wind losses across a large European region. To do this over 900 years of climate model data have been used and analysed. The main conclusion of this work is that cyclone clustering acts to increase wind-driven losses in the winter by 10 %–20 % when compared to the losses from a random series of cyclones, with this specifically being for the higher loss years.
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