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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 17, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 993–1001, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-993-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Risk and uncertainty estimation in natural hazards

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 993–1001, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-993-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 03 Jul 2017

Research article | 03 Jul 2017

Simple and approximate estimations of future precipitation return values

Rasmus E. Benestad et al.

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Simple and approximate estimation of future precipitation return-values R. E. Benestad https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.5047789.v1

esd V1.0 R. E. Benestad, A. Mezghani, and K. M. Parding https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.29385

Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy precipitation amounts, making use of the limited available sources of information: laws of physics, seasonal variations, mathematical estimation of probability, and s large number of climate model results. An upper bound is estimated rather than the most likely value.
We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy...
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