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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 17, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 993–1001, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-993-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Risk and uncertainty estimation in natural hazards

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 993–1001, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-993-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 03 Jul 2017

Research article | 03 Jul 2017

Simple and approximate estimations of future precipitation return values

Rasmus E. Benestad et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (04 Nov 2016) by Thorsten Wagener
AR by Rasmus Benestad on behalf of the Authors (16 Dec 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (30 Jan 2017) by Thorsten Wagener
RR by Reik Donner (26 Feb 2017)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (24 Mar 2017)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (24 Mar 2017) by Thorsten Wagener
AR by Rasmus Benestad on behalf of the Authors (05 Apr 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (28 May 2017) by Thorsten Wagener
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy precipitation amounts, making use of the limited available sources of information: laws of physics, seasonal variations, mathematical estimation of probability, and s large number of climate model results. An upper bound is estimated rather than the most likely value.
We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy...
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