Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment based on seismicity anomaly

Sun, Yu-Sheng; Li, Hsien-Chi; Chang, Ling-Yun; Ye, Zheng-Kai; Chen, Chien-Chih

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-743-2020

Articles | Volume 20, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-743-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-743-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 3

Research article

|

23 Mar 2020

Research article |

| 23 Mar 2020

Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment based on seismicity anomaly

Yu-Sheng Sun, Hsien-Chi Li, Ling-Yun Chang, Zheng-Kai Ye, and Chien-Chih Chen

Download

Final revised paper (published on 23 Mar 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 23 Jul 2019)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

- Printer-friendly version

- Supplement

RC1: 'Comments', Anonymous Referee #1, 31 Jul 2019
- AC1: 'rely RC1: 'Comments', Yu-Sheng Sun, 01 Nov 2019
RC2: 'Comments', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Nov 2019
- AC2: 'reply RC2: 'Comments'', Yu-Sheng Sun, 04 Dec 2019

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (08 Dec 2019) by Filippos Vallianatos

AR by Yu-Sheng Sun on behalf of the Authors (11 Dec 2019) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (29 Jan 2020) by Filippos Vallianatos

AR by Yu-Sheng Sun on behalf of the Authors (04 Feb 2020) Manuscript

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval

AA by Yu-Sheng Sun on behalf of the Authors (06 Mar 2020) Author's adjustment Manuscript

EA: Adjustments approved (07 Mar 2020) by Filippos Vallianatos

Short summary

Real-time probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) was developed in consideration of its practicability for daily life and the rate of seismic activity with time. We selected the 2016 Meinong (M_L 6.6) and the 2018 Hualien (M_L 6.2) earthquakes in Taiwan as examples. The seismic intensity forecasting maps produced by the real-time PSHA facilitated the forecast of the maximum expected seismic intensity for the following 90 d. Compared with real data the maps showed considerable effectiveness.