Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3135-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
Research article
 | 
27 Nov 2020
Research article |  | 27 Nov 2020

Multi-hazard risk assessment for roads: probabilistic versus deterministic approaches

Stefan Oberndorfer, Philip Sander, and Sven Fuchs

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Latest update: 08 Aug 2025
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Short summary
The article provides a comparison of a standard (deterministic) risk assessment approach for roads exposed to a multi-hazard environment with a probabilistic risk analysis method to show the potential bias in the results. A probabilistic approach enables the quantification of epistemic uncertainty and uses probability distributions to characterize data uncertainty of the input variables, while a deterministic computation uses single values with discrete values without uncertainty representation.
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