Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3135-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3135-2020
Research article
 | 
27 Nov 2020
Research article |  | 27 Nov 2020

Multi-hazard risk assessment for roads: probabilistic versus deterministic approaches

Stefan Oberndorfer, Philip Sander, and Sven Fuchs

Related authors

A generic physical vulnerability model for floods: review and concept for data-scarce regions
Mark Bawa Malgwi, Sven Fuchs, and Margreth Keiler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2067–2090, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2067-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2067-2020, 2020
Short summary
On the nexus between landslide susceptibility and transport infrastructure – an agent-based approach
Matthias Schlögl, Gerald Richter, Michael Avian, Thomas Thaler, Gerhard Heiss, Gernot Lenz, and Sven Fuchs
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 201–219, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-201-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-201-2019, 2019
Short summary
Editorial to the special issue on resilience and vulnerability assessments in natural hazard and risk analysis
Sven Fuchs, Margreth Keiler, and Thomas Glade
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1203–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1203-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1203-2017, 2017
Flood risk perception and adaptation capacity: a contribution to the socio-hydrology debate
Sven Fuchs, Konstantinos Karagiorgos, Kyriaki Kitikidou, Fotios Maris, Spyridon Paparrizos, and Thomas Thaler
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3183–3198, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3183-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3183-2017, 2017
Short summary
A spatiotemporal multi-hazard exposure assessment based on property data
S. Fuchs, M. Keiler, and A. Zischg
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2127–2142, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2127-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2127-2015, 2015
Short summary

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
Brief communication: Lessons learned and experiences gained from building up a global survey on societal resilience to changing droughts
Marina Batalini de Macedo, Marcos Roberto Benso, Karina Simone Sass, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Greicelene Jesus da Silva, Pedro Gustavo Câmara da Silva, Elisabeth Shrimpton, Tanaya Sarmah, Da Huo, Michael Jacobson, Abdullah Konak, Nazmiye Balta-Ozkan, and Adelaide Cassia Nardocci
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2165–2173, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024, 2024
Short summary
Regional seismic risk assessment based on ground conditions in Uzbekistan
Vakhitkhan Alikhanovich Ismailov, Sharofiddin Ismatullayevich Yodgorov, Akhror Sabriddinovich Khusomiddinov, Eldor Makhmadiyorovich Yadigarov, Bekzod Uktamovich Aktamov, and Shuhrat Bakhtiyorovich Avazov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2133–2146, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024, 2024
Short summary
Unveiling transboundary challenges in river flood risk management: learning from the Ciliwung River basin
Harkunti Pertiwi Rahayu, Khonsa Indana Zulfa, Dewi Nurhasanah, Richard Haigh, Dilanthi Amaratunga, and In In Wahdiny
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2045–2064, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024, 2024
Short summary
Quantitative study of storm surge risk assessment in an undeveloped coastal area of China based on deep learning and geographic information system techniques: a case study of Double Moon Bay
Lichen Yu, Hao Qin, Shining Huang, Wei Wei, Haoyu Jiang, and Lin Mu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2003–2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024, 2024
Short summary
Multisectoral analysis of drought impacts and management responses to the 2008–2015 record drought in the Colorado Basin, Texas
Stephen B. Ferencz, Ning Sun, Sean W. D. Turner, Brian A. Smith, and Jennie S. Rice
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1871–1896, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Apel, H., Thieken, A. H., Merz, B., and Blöschl, G.: Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 295–308, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-4-295-2004, 2004. 
ASTRA: Naturgefahren auf Nationalstraßen: Risikokonzept, Methodik für eine risikobasierende Beurteilung, Prävention und Bewältigung von gravitativen Naturgefahren auf Nationalstraßen V2.10, Bundesamt für Straßen (ASTRA), Bern, Switzerland, 98 pp., 2012. 
Austrian Standards International: Protection works for torrent control – Terms and their definitions as well as classification, ONR 24800:2009 02 15, Austrian Standards International, Vienna, 2009. 
Austrian Standards International: Permanent technical avalanche protection – Terms, definition, static and dynamic load assumptions, ONR 24805:2010 06 01, Austrian Standards International, Vienna, 2010. 
Austrian Standards International: Technical protection against rockfall – Terms and definitions, effects of actions, design, monitoring and maintenance, ONR 24810:2017 02 15, Austrian Standards International, Vienna, 2017. 
Download
Short summary
The article provides a comparison of a standard (deterministic) risk assessment approach for roads exposed to a multi-hazard environment with a probabilistic risk analysis method to show the potential bias in the results. A probabilistic approach enables the quantification of epistemic uncertainty and uses probability distributions to characterize data uncertainty of the input variables, while a deterministic computation uses single values with discrete values without uncertainty representation.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint