Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2609–2626, 2020
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2609–2626, 2020
Research article
05 Oct 2020
Research article | 05 Oct 2020

Quantifying processes contributing to marine hazards to inform coastal climate resilience assessments, demonstrated for the Caribbean Sea

Svetlana Jevrejeva et al.

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Cited articles

Bamber, J. and Riva, R.: The sea level fingerprint of recent ice mass fluxes, The Cryosphere, 4, 621–627,, 2010. 
Berg, R. Hurricane Ike: Technical report, 5–9 November 2008, tropical cyclone report, National Hurricane Center, USA, 2014. 
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Bricheno, L. M, and Wolf, J.: Future Wave Conditions of Europe, in Response to High-End Climate Change Scenarios, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 123, 8762–8791,, 2018. 
Caribbean Marine Climate Change Report Card: edited by: Buckley, P., Townhill, B., Trotz, U., Nichols, K., Murray, P. A., Samuels, C. C., Gordon, A., and Taylor, M., Commonwealth Marine Economies Programme, 2017. 
Short summary
We explore the role of waves, storm surges and sea level rise for the Caribbean region with a focus on the eastern Caribbean islands. We simulate past extreme events, suggesting a storm surge might reach 1.5 m and coastal wave heights up to 12 m offshore and up to 5 m near the coast of St Vincent. We provide sea level projections of up to 2.2 m by 2100. Our work provides quantitative evidence for policy-makers, scientists and local communities to actively protect against climate change.
Final-revised paper