Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-309-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-309-2024
Research article
 | 
01 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 01 Feb 2024

Towards a global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones

Mersedeh Kooshki Forooshani, Marc van den Homberg, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Yelena Mejova, Leonardo Milano, Pauline Ndirangu, Daniela Paolotti, Aklilu Teklesadik, and Monica L. Turner

Data sets

Companion data to Towards global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones Mersedeh Kooshki Forooshani et al. http://rb.gy/f27wy

Model code and software

Global Tropical Storm Model Mersedeh Kooshki Forooshani et al. https://github.com/rodekruis/GlobalTropicalCycloneModel

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Short summary
We improve an existing impact forecasting model for the Philippines by transforming the target variable (percentage of damaged houses) to a fine grid, using only features which are globally available. We show that our two-stage model conserves the performance of the original and even has the potential to introduce savings in anticipatory action resources. Such model generalizability is important in increasing the applicability of such tools around the world.
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