Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2593-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2593-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Trends in heat and cold wave risks for the Italian Trentino-Alto Adige region from 1980 to 2018
Martin Morlot
Department of Civil, Environmental, and
Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Via Mesiano 77, 38123 Trento, Italy
Simone Russo
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Via Enrico Fermi 2749,
21027 Ispra, Italy
Luc Feyen
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Via Enrico Fermi 2749,
21027 Ispra, Italy
Giuseppe Formetta
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil, Environmental, and
Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Via Mesiano 77, 38123 Trento, Italy
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
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15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Extreme ambient temperature and emergency healthcare service utilization due to substance use disorders: a systematic review and meta-analysis H. Jhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-98247-x
- Three-Century Climatology of Cold and Warm Spells and Snowfall Events in Padua, Italy (1725–2024) C. Stefanini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13040070
- Urban cold stress assessment using computational fluid dynamics and universal thermal climate index: A case study of Gwacheon City, South Korea J. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2025.106830
- A satellite view of the exceptionally warm summer of 2022 over Europe J. Martins et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1501-2024
- More intense heatwaves under drier conditions: a compound event analysis in the Adige River basin (Eastern Italian Alps) M. Lemus-Canovas et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6781-2025
- Elevation-driven biases in seasonal weather forecasts: Insights from the Alpine region S. Uttarwar et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2025.103957
- Recent tendencies of extreme heat events in Italy G. Settanta et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-05063-w
- Recent (1981–2024) climatic trends in Italy from high-resolution reanalysis data and station-based observations A. Vavassori et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12518-026-00734-x
- The influence of urban geometry and vegetation on summer thermal comfort: an integrated methodology to assess microclimate variations across Local Climate Zones A. Codemo et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2026.107357
- Performance assessment of neural network models for seasonal weather forecast postprocessing in the Alpine region S. Uttarwar et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2025.105061
- Climate change and human health in Alpine environments: an interdisciplinary impact chain approach understanding today's risks to address tomorrow's challenges G. Roveri et al. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014431
- Changes in large-scale circulation behind the increase in extreme heat events in the Apennines (Italy) V. Capozzi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108013
- Review on heatwaves: a risk perspective L. Brogno et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/add178
- Cold spells induced by slow-moving and amplified large-scale ridge and trough M. Babaei et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-825-2026
- Review on climate change impacts on the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems (WEFE) Nexus in the North-Eastern Italian Alps A. Napoli et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03890-y
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 13 Jun 2026
Short summary
We analyzed recent trends in heat and cold wave (HW and CW) risk in a European alpine region, defined by a time and spatially explicit framework to quantify hazard, vulnerability, exposure, and risk. We find a statistically significant increase in HW hazard and exposure. A decrease in vulnerability is observed except in the larger cities. HW risk increased in 40 % of the region, especially in highly populated areas. Stagnant CW hazard and declining vulnerability result in reduced CW risk.
We analyzed recent trends in heat and cold wave (HW and CW) risk in a European alpine region,...
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