Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2447-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2447-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Research article
 | 
20 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 20 Aug 2021

Quantifying location error to define uncertainty in volcanic mass flow hazard simulations

Stuart R. Mead, Jonathan Procter, and Gabor Kereszturi

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Latest update: 06 May 2025
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Short summary
Computer simulations can be used to estimate the flow path and inundation of volcanic mass flows; however, their accuracy needs to be appropriately measured and handled in order to determine hazard zones. This paper presents an approach to simulation accuracy assessment and hazard zonation with a volcanic debris avalanche as the benchmark. This method helped to identify and support key findings about errors in mass flow simulations, as well as potential end-use cases for hazard zonation.
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