Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Research article
20 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 20 Aug 2021

Quantifying location error to define uncertainty in volcanic mass flow hazard simulations

Stuart R. Mead, Jonathan Procter, and Gabor Kereszturi

Model code and software

Volcano Plugin: Plugin containing code to generate fuzzy membership vectors S. Mead

Short summary
Computer simulations can be used to estimate the flow path and inundation of volcanic mass flows; however, their accuracy needs to be appropriately measured and handled in order to determine hazard zones. This paper presents an approach to simulation accuracy assessment and hazard zonation with a volcanic debris avalanche as the benchmark. This method helped to identify and support key findings about errors in mass flow simulations, as well as potential end-use cases for hazard zonation.
Final-revised paper