Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2169–2179, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2169–2179, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021

Research article 19 Jul 2021

Research article | 19 Jul 2021

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

Folmer Krikken et al.

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (12 Feb 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (18 May 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (03 Jun 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (01 Sep 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Sep 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (08 Nov 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (14 Feb 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Feb 2021) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (23 Mar 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (23 Apr 2021) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
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Short summary
In this study, we analyse the role of climate change in the forest fires that raged through large parts of Sweden in the summer of 2018 from a meteorological perspective. This is done by studying observationally constrained data and multiple climate models. We find a small reduced probability of such events, based on reanalyses, but a small increased probability due to global warming up to now and a more robust increase in the risk for such events in the future, based on climate models.
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