Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
Research article
 | 
19 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 19 Jul 2021

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

Folmer Krikken, Flavio Lehner, Karsten Haustein, Igor Drobyshev, and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh

Download

Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (12 Feb 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (18 May 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (03 Jun 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (01 Sep 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Sep 2020) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (08 Nov 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (14 Feb 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Feb 2021) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (23 Mar 2021)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (23 Apr 2021) by Maria-Carmen Llasat
AR by Folmer Krikken on behalf of the Authors (03 May 2021)  Manuscript 
Download
Short summary
In this study, we analyse the role of climate change in the forest fires that raged through large parts of Sweden in the summer of 2018 from a meteorological perspective. This is done by studying observationally constrained data and multiple climate models. We find a small reduced probability of such events, based on reanalyses, but a small increased probability due to global warming up to now and a more robust increase in the risk for such events in the future, based on climate models.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint