Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2169–2179, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2169–2179, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021

Research article 19 Jul 2021

Research article | 19 Jul 2021

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

Folmer Krikken et al.

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Latest update: 07 Dec 2021
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Short summary
In this study, we analyse the role of climate change in the forest fires that raged through large parts of Sweden in the summer of 2018 from a meteorological perspective. This is done by studying observationally constrained data and multiple climate models. We find a small reduced probability of such events, based on reanalyses, but a small increased probability due to global warming up to now and a more robust increase in the risk for such events in the future, based on climate models.
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