Articles | Volume 19, issue 4
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 941–955, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-941-2019
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 941–955, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-941-2019

Research article 26 Apr 2019

Research article | 26 Apr 2019

Assessing the impact of sea surface temperatures on a simulated medicane using ensemble simulations

Robin Noyelle et al.

Related authors

Predictive modeling of hourly probabilities for weather-related road accidents
Nico Becker, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2857–2871, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2857-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2857-2020, 2020
Short summary
Recalibrating Decadal Climate Predictions – What is an adequate model for the drift?
Alexander Pasternack, Jens Grieger, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-191,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-191, 2020
Revised manuscript under review for GMD
Short summary
Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the North Atlantic extratropical winter circulation through increased model resolution
Mareike Schuster, Jens Grieger, Andy Richling, Thomas Schartner, Sebastian Illing, Christopher Kadow, Wolfgang A. Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Stephan Pfahl, and Uwe Ulbrich
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 901–917, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019, 2019
Short summary
Towards high-resolution climate reconstruction using an off-line data assimilation and COSMO-CLM 5.00 model
Bijan Fallah, Emmanuele Russo, Walter Acevedo, Achille Mauri, Nico Becker, and Ulrich Cubasch
Clim. Past, 14, 1345–1360, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1345-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1345-2018, 2018
Short summary
A classification algorithm for selective dynamical downscaling of precipitation extremes
Edmund P. Meredith, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4183–4200, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4183-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4183-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
Radar-based assessment of hail frequency in Europe
Elody Fluck, Michael Kunz, Peter Geissbuehler, and Stefan P. Ritz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 683–701, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-683-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-683-2021, 2021
Short summary
A new view on the risk of typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific
Kelvin S. Ng and Gregor C. Leckebusch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 663–682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021, 2021
Short summary
Data assimilation impact studies with the AROME-WMED reanalysis of the first special observation period of the Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean Experiment
Nadia Fourrié, Mathieu Nuret, Pierre Brousseau, and Olivier Caumont
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 463–480, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-463-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-463-2021, 2021
Short summary
Assessing heat exposure to extreme temperatures in urban areas using the Local Climate Zone classification
Joan Gilabert, Anna Deluca, Dirk Lauwaet, Joan Ballester, Jordi Corbera, and Maria Carmen Llasat
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 375–391, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-375-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-375-2021, 2021
Short summary
Are Kenya Meteorological Department heavy rainfall advisories useful for forecast-based early action and early preparedness for flooding?
David MacLeod, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Maurine Ambani, Michael Osunga, Joanne Robbins, Richard Graham, Pedram Rowhani, and Martin C. Todd
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 261–277, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-261-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-261-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Adloff, F., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Jordà, G., Aznar, R., Déqué, M., Herrmann, M., Marcos, M., Dubois, C., Padorno, E., Alvarez-Fanjul, E., and Gomis, D.: Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 45, 2775–2802, 2015. a
Akhtar, N., Brauch, J., Dobler, A., Béranger, K., and Ahrens, B.: Medicanes in an ocean–atmosphere coupled regional climate model, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2189–2201, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2189-2014, 2014. a
Becker, N., Ulbrich, U., and Klein, R.: Large-scale secondary circulations in a limited area model–the impact of lateral boundaries and resolution, Tellus A, 70, 1–15, 2018. a
Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., Esch, M., Keenlyside, N., Kornblueh, L., Luo, J.-J., and Yamagata, T.: How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate?, Tellus A, 59, 539–561, 2007. a
Bracken, W. E. and Bosart, L. F.: The role of synoptic-scale flow during tropical cyclogenesis over the North Atlantic Ocean, Mon. Weather Rev., 128, 353–376, 2000. a
Download
Short summary
This paper investigates the formation of the Mediterranean hurricane that developed between Balearic Islands and Sardinia in October 1996, with a particular focus on the influence of sea surface temperature. We show that increased sea surface temperatures lead to greater probabilities of appearance and a greater strength of the resulting hurricane, suggesting that the processes for Mediterranean hurricanes at steady state are very similar to tropical cyclones.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint