Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1737–1753, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1737-2019

Special issue: Flood risk assessment and management

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1737–1753, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1737-2019

Research article 13 Aug 2019

Research article | 13 Aug 2019

Uncertainty quantification of flood mitigation predictions and implications for interventions

Koen D. Berends et al.

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (09 Mar 2019) by Cristina Prieto
AR by Koen Berends on behalf of the Authors (17 Apr 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (25 Apr 2019) by Cristina Prieto
RR by Joseph Guillaume (13 May 2019)
RR by Jan Kwakkel (28 May 2019)
RR by Jonathan Remo (01 Jun 2019)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (09 Jun 2019) by Cristina Prieto
AR by Koen Berends on behalf of the Authors (18 Jun 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (19 Jun 2019) by Cristina Prieto
Short summary
River flooding is a major safety concern. Sophisticated models are used to design ways to decrease flood risk, but until recently it was not feasible to calculate how uncertain these model predictions are. Using a new approach, we have now quantified the uncertainty of 12 interventions along the River Waal. Results show significant but not problematically high uncertainty. We demonstrate that the choice between interventions can be different when uncertainty is taken into account.
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