Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1023-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1023-2019
Research article
 | 
15 May 2019
Research article |  | 15 May 2019

Synoptic-scale conditions and convection-resolving hindcast experiments of a cold-season derecho on 3 January 2014 in western Europe

Luca Mathias, Patrick Ludwig, and Joaquim G. Pinto

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Cited articles

Baldauf, M., Seifert, A., Förstner, J., Majewski, D., Raschendorfer, M., and Reinhardt, T.: Operational Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction with the COSMO Model: Description and Sensitivities, Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 3887–3905, https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-10-05013.1, 2011. 
Bentley, M. and Mote, T.: A synoptic climatology of cool-season derecho events, Phys. Geogr., 21, 21–37, https://doi.org/10.1080/02723646.2000.10642696, 2000. 
Celiński-Mysław, D. and Matuszko, D.: An analysis of selected cases of derecho in Poland, Atmos. Res., 149, 263–281, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.06.016, 2014. 
Cohen, A., Coniglio, M., Corfidi, S., and Corfidi, S.: Discrimination of Mesoscale Convective System Environments Using Sounding Observations, Weather Forecast., 22, 1045–1062, https://doi.org/10.1175/waf1040.1, 2007. 
Coniglio, M. and Stensrud, D.: Interpreting the Climatology of Derechos, Weather Forecast., 19, 595–605, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2004)019<0595:itcod>2.0.co;2, 2004. 
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Short summary
Convective systems producing severe winds occasionally affect Europe during wintertime and the majority of these storms develop along well-defined cold fronts of extratropical cyclones. However, on 3 January 2014, a storm formed in a postfrontal air mass over western Europe. This study analyses the prevailing environmental conditions and the predictability of this storm. Our results reveal the difficulty of forecasting cold-season convective storms when they are not associated with a cold front.
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