Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Research article
 | 
13 Dec 2018
Research article |  | 13 Dec 2018

On the use of weather regimes to forecast meteorological drought over Europe

Christophe Lavaysse, Jürgen Vogt, Andrea Toreti, Marco L. Carrera, and Florian Pappenberger

Viewed

Total article views: 4,550 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
3,195 1,242 113 4,550 667 132 148
  • HTML: 3,195
  • PDF: 1,242
  • XML: 113
  • Total: 4,550
  • Supplement: 667
  • BibTeX: 132
  • EndNote: 148
Views and downloads (calculated since 16 Jul 2018)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 16 Jul 2018)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,550 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,027 with geography defined and 523 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 19 Nov 2025
Download
Short summary
Forecasting droughts in Europe 1 month in advance would provide valuable information for decision makers. However, these extreme events are still difficult to predict. In this study, we develop forecasts based on predictors using the geopotential anomalies, generally more predictable than precipitation, derived from the ECMWF model. Results show that this approach outperforms the prediction using precipitation, especially in winter and in northern Europe, where 65 % of droughts are predicted.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint