How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?

Metin, Ayse Duha; Dung, Nguyen Viet; Schröter, Kai; Guse, Björn; Apel, Heiko; Kreibich, Heidi; Vorogushyn, Sergiy; Merz, Bruno

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018

Articles | Volume 18, issue 11

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 11

Research article

|

19 Nov 2018

Research article |

| 19 Nov 2018

How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?

Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Björn Guse, Heiko Apel, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz

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Final revised paper (published on 19 Nov 2018)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 12 Jun 2018)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Jul 2018
- AC1: 'Reply to Comments of Referee#1', Ayse Duha Metin, 20 Aug 2018
RC2: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Jul 2018
- AC2: 'Reply to Comments of Referee#2', Ayse Duha Metin, 20 Aug 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (17 Sep 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (19 Sep 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

AR by Ayse Duha Metin on behalf of the Authors (18 Oct 2018)

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (23 Oct 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (07 Nov 2018)

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (07 Nov 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

AR by Ayse Duha Metin on behalf of the Authors (11 Nov 2018) Manuscript

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Short summary

We present a comprehensive sensitivity analysis considering changes along the complete flood risk chain to understand how changes in different drivers affect flood risk. Results show that changes in dike systems or in vulnerability may outweigh changes in often investigated components, such as climate change. Although the specific results are conditional on the case study and assumptions, they highlight the need for a broader consideration of potential drivers of change in a comprehensive way.