Articles | Volume 18, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3089-2018
Research article
 | 
19 Nov 2018
Research article |  | 19 Nov 2018

How do changes along the risk chain affect flood risk?

Ayse Duha Metin, Nguyen Viet Dung, Kai Schröter, Björn Guse, Heiko Apel, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz

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Short summary
We present a comprehensive sensitivity analysis considering changes along the complete flood risk chain to understand how changes in different drivers affect flood risk. Results show that changes in dike systems or in vulnerability may outweigh changes in often investigated components, such as climate change. Although the specific results are conditional on the case study and assumptions, they highlight the need for a broader consideration of potential drivers of change in a comprehensive way.
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