Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-775-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Collective risk modelling of multi-peril events: correlation of European windstorm gust and precipitation annual severity
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- Final revised paper (published on 13 Feb 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 27 Jun 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3031', Anonymous Referee #1, 29 Jul 2025
- AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Toby Jones, 12 Sep 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3031', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Jul 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Toby Jones, 12 Sep 2025
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RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3031', Anonymous Referee #3, 08 Aug 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Toby Jones, 12 Sep 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (12 Sep 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
AR by Toby Jones on behalf of the Authors (12 Sep 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Sep 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (22 Sep 2025)
RR by John K. Hillier (23 Sep 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (06 Oct 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
AR by Toby Jones on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (09 Oct 2025) by Marleen de Ruiter
ED: Publish as is (23 Nov 2025) by Bruce D. Malamud (Executive editor)
AR by Toby Jones on behalf of the Authors (02 Dec 2025)
This paper explores the correlation between wind and precipitation at different thresholds using three different frameworks. It aims to understand what may be the driver for a negative correlation at a higher threshold. I think the paper is well-written, and there are some interesting findings presented. However, I would like to suggest some key points of concern that the authors can address during this review process
Title and terminology
I was intrigued by the title of the paper which states that it investigates multi-peril accumulated losses. Therefore, I was surprised to find that there is in fact, no loss data used in the paper. The paper only looks at the ‘severity’ purely based on ERA5 data of wind and precipitation. ‘Losses’ may cause the reader to expect a more quantifiable impact, such as damages, or have some sort of vulnerability or exposure included in the loss function. I understand that the authors is using severity as a proxy for loss, however, the hazard already seems to be a proxy of the severity through the use of a function. Perhaps the authors can consider to change the word losses to severity instead, in order to avoid further confusion.
What makes the correlation “correct”
In Line 173, the authors mention that “negative correlation over the northwest of mainland Europe is correctly captured” and only framework C is able to capture the correlation at each threshold. It seems that it is ‘correct’ because it matches the sample correlation? What makes the sample correlation from Jones et al. 2024 ‘correct’?
Data selection for the study
I wonder why only data from 1980-2000 has been investigated, while the data is available to the present. The authors state that data prior to 1980 has not been included due to data quality, however, this should not be an issue for recent data. Does the cutoff in 2000 mean that the current day climate is not reflected in the results?
Significance of the research
The introduction of the paper reads very well and highlights the general need for the proposed research. I find the findings related to the negative correlations and the difference between storms with a short and long duration interesting. However, as a reader I am left wondering exactly why these findings are important. Who is it relevant for? How may these results improve our multi-peril risk management? Additionally, a negative correlation between wind and rain can already be deducted by looking at Figure 5, which provides enough insights for the relationship between hazard intensity and duration as well. Can the authors explain the need of extensively testing the three frameworks that are presented as the main focus of the paper?