Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5469-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5469-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Review article: rainfall-induced landslide early warning systems through the lens of the early warnings for all framework – advances, gaps, and perspectives
Roquia Salam
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Risk and Disaster Reduction (RDR), University College London (UCL), Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
Bayes Ahmed
Department of Risk and Disaster Reduction (RDR), University College London (UCL), Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
Peter Sammonds
Department of Risk and Disaster Reduction (RDR), University College London (UCL), Gower Street, London, WC1E 6BT, UK
Related authors
No articles found.
Chao Zhou, Yue Wang, Ying Cao, Ramesh P. Singhc, Bayes Ahmed, Mahdi Motagh, Yang Wang, and Ling Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-44, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-44, 2023
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary
Short summary
We found that the altitude (< 240 m) and distance to rivers (< 300 m) emerged as important factors for the cause of landslides. LR-MLP-Boosting achieves the highest prediction accuracy. The coupling models outperform the corresponding single models and Boosting algorithm performs better than the Bagging algorithm. High-quality non-landslide samples enhance the accuracy of LSM. They can be effectively obtained by using the LR model to constrain its selection range.
Cited articles
Ahmed, B., Rahman, M. S., Islam, R., Sammonds, P., Zhou, C., Uddin, K., and Al-Hussaini, T. M.: Developing a dynamic Web-GIS based landslide early warning system for the Chittagong Metropolitan Area, Bangladesh, ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf., 7, 485, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi7120485, 2018.
Ahmed, B., Rahman, M. S., Sammonds, P., Islam, R., and Uddin, K.: Application of geospatial technologies in developing a dynamic landslide early warning system in a humanitarian context: the Rohingya refugee crisis in Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh, Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 11, 446–468, https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2020.1730988, 2020.
Ahmed, B., Mahamud, R., Alam, S. M. R. A., Arif, M. T. A., and Bhuiyan, M. S. H.: Designing Standard Operating Procedures for a Landslide Early Warning System for Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh, in: Progress in Landslide Research and Technology, Volume 4 Issue 2, 2025, 345–364, Springer, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-18863-2_23, 2026.
Alcántara-Ayala, I.: Landslides in a changing world, Landslides, 22, 2851–2865, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-024-02451-1, 2025.
ARPA Piemonte: Scenario di innesco frane, Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione Ambientale del Piemonte (ARPA Piemonte), https://www.arpa.piemonte.it/rischi_naturali/snippets_arpa/frane/ (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Azarafza, M., Azarafza, M., Akgün, H., Atkinson, P. M., and Derakhshani, R.: Deep learning-based landslide susceptibility mapping, Sci. Rep., 11, 24112, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-03585-1, 2021.
Barthélemy, S., Bernardie, S., and Grandjean, G.: Assessing rainfall threshold for shallow landslides triggering: a case study in the Alpes Maritimes region, France, Nat. Hazard., 121, 4023–4049, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06941-2, 2024.
Calvello, M.: Early warning strategies to cope with landslide risk, Riv. Ital. Geotec., 2, 63–91, https://doi.org/10.19199/2017.2.0557-1405.063, 2017.
Calvello, M., D'Orsi, R. N., Piciullo, L., Paes, N., Magalhaes, M., and Lacerda, W. A.: The Rio de Janeiro early warning system for rainfall-induced landslides: Analysis of performance for the years 2010–2013, Int. J. Disast. Risk Re., 12, 3–15, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2014.10.005, 2015a.
Calvello, M., D'Orsi, R. N., Piciullo, L., Paes, N. M., Magalhaes, M. A., Coelho, R., and Lacerda, W. A.: The community-based alert and alarm system for rainfall induced landslides in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in: Engineering Geology for Society and Territory – Volume 2: Landslide Processes, 653–657, Springer International Publishing, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09057-3_109, 2015b.
Chaturvedi, P., Srivastava, S., and Kaur, P. B.: Landslide Early Warning System Development Using Statistical Analysis of Sensors' Data at Tangni Landslide, Uttarakhand, India, in: Proceedings of Sixth International Conference on Soft Computing for Problem Solving, 259–270, Springer, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3325-4_26, 2017.
CRED: EM-DAT – The International Disaster Database, Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium, https://www.emdat.be/ (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
de Andrade, M. R. M., Bortolozo, C. A., Carvalho, A. R., Egas, H. M., Garcia, K., Metodiev, D., Nery, T. D., Prieto, C., Pryer, T., Saito, S. M., and Scofield, G.: The SNAKE System: CEMADEN's Landslide Early Warning System (LEWS) Mechanism, Int. J. Geosci., 14, 1146–1159, https://doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2023.1411058, 2023.
DMR.: Daily Landslide-Susceptibility Areas from AP Model, Department of Mineral Resources (DMR), Thailand, https://data.dmr.go.th/dataset/daily-susceptibility-data-from-ap-model (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Farina, P., Catani, F., Rosi, A., Setiawan, I., Junaidi, A., Afrizal, K., and Wijayanto, A.: Development of an early warning system for shallow landslide hazard in the Grasberg area, Indonesia, in: Slope Stability 2020: Proceedings of the 2020 International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, 1425–1438, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_repo/2025_98, 2020.
Froude, M. J. and Petley, D. N.: Global fatal landslide occurrence from 2004 to 2016, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2161–2181, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2161-2018, 2018.
Fustos-Toribio, I., Manque-Roa, N., Vásquez Antipan, D., Hermosilla Sotomayor, M., and Letelier Gonzalez, V.: Rainfall-induced landslide early warning system based on corrected mesoscale numerical models: an application for the southern Andes, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2169–2183, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2169-2022, 2022.
Gamperl, M., Singer, J., and Thuro, K.: Internet of things geosensor network for cost-effective landslide early warning systems, Sensors, 21, 2609, https://doi.org/10.3390/s21082609, 2021.
Gamperl, M., Singer, J., Garcia-Londoño, C., Seiler, L., Castañeda, J., Cerón-Hernandez, D., and Thuro, K.: Recommendations for Landslide Early Warning Systems in Informal Settlements Based on a Case Study in Medellín, Colombia, Land, 12, 1451, https://doi.org/10.3390/land12071451, 2023.
Gian, Q. A., Tran, D.-T., Nguyen, D. C., Nhu, V. H., and Tien Bui, D.: Design and implementation of site-specific rainfall-induced landslide early warning and monitoring system: a case study at Nam Dan landslide (Vietnam), Geomatics, Nat. Hazard. Risk, 8, 1978–1996, https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2017.1401561, 2017.
GSI: Landslide Hazard, Bhusanket, Geological Survey of India (GSI), https://bhusanket.gsi.gov.in/LanslideHazard.html (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Guo, Z., Yin, K., Gui, L., Liu, Q., Huang, F., and Wang, T.: Regional rainfall warning system for landslides with creep deformation in three gorges using a statistical black box model, Sci. Rep., 9, 8962, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-45403-9, 2019.
Guterres, A.: United Nations Secretary-General's message on World Meteorological Day, United Nations, https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/sg/statements/2022-03-23/secretary-generals-message-world-meteorological-day (last access: 21 October 2026), 2022.
Guzzetti, F.: Invited perspectives: Landslide populations – can they be predicted?, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1467–1471, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1467-2021, 2021.
Guzzetti, F., Gariano, S. L., Peruccacci, S., Brunetti, M. T., Marchesini, I., Rossi, M., and Melillo, M.: Geographical landslide early warning systems, Earth-Sci. Rev., 200, 102973, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102973, 2020.
Haque, U., Da Silva, P. F., Devoli, G., Pilz, J., Zhao, B., Khaloua, A., Wilopo, W., Andersen, P., Lu, P., Lee, J., Yamamoto, T., Keellings, D., Wu, J.-H., and Glass, G. E.: The human cost of global warming: Deadly landslides and their triggers (1995–2014), Sci. Total Environ., 682, 673–684, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.415, 2019.
Harilal, G. T., Madhu, D., Ramesh, M. V., and Pullarkatt, D.: Towards establishing rainfall thresholds for a real-time landslide early warning system in Sikkim, India, Landslides, 16, 2395–2408, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-019-01244-1, 2019.
Hidayat, R., Sutanto, S. J., Hidayah, A., Ridwan, B., and Mulyana, A.: Development of a landslide early warning system in Indonesia, Geosciences, 9, 451, https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences9100451, 2019.
IDEAM: Boletín de Alertas por Pronóstico de la Amenaza por Deslizamientos de Tierra (BADT), Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM), IDEAM BADT bulletin archive, https://www.ideam.gov.co/sala-de-prensa/boletines/Boletín-de-Alertas-por-Pronóstico-de-la-Amenaza (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
INDECI: 634 distritos de la sierra centro y sur en riesgo por precipitaciones, Instituto Nacional de Defensa Civil (INDECI), Nota de Prensa No. 096-2026, Official INDECI notice, https://www.gob.pe/institucion/indeci/noticias/1369452-634-distritos-de-la-sierra-centro-y-sur-en-riesgo (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
INGEMMET: Ingemmet identifica 185 zonas críticas por peligros geológicos ante lluvias, Instituto Geológico, Minero y Metalúrgico (INGEMMET), https://www.gob.pe/institucion/ingemmet/noticias/1355346-ingemmet-identifica-185-zonas-criticas-por-peligros (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
IPCC: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), edited by: Core Writing Team, Lee, H., and Romero, J., IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 184 pp., https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647, 2023.
JMA: Information at a glance: Real-time Landslide Risk Map and Weather Warnings/Advisories, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/quickinfo/quickinfo.html (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
JMG: Sistem Amaran Bencana Geologi, Jabatan Mineral dan Geosains Malaysia (JMG), https://ews.jmg.gov.my/ (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Ju, N., Huang, J., He, C., Van Asch, T. W. J., Huang, R., Fan, X., Xu, Q., Xiao, Y., and Wang, J.: Landslide early warning, case studies from Southwest China, Eng. Geol., 279, 105917, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2020.105917, 2020.
Ju, N. P., Huang, J., Huang, R. Q., He, C. Y., and Li, Y. R.: A Real-time Monitoring and Early Warning System for Landslides in Southwest China, J. Mount. Sci., 12, 1219–1228, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-014-3307-7, 2015.
Kebaili, M. O., Foughali, K., Fathallah, K., Frihida, A., Ezzeddine, T., and Claramunt, C.: Landsliding Early Warning Prototype Using MongoDB and Web of Things Technologies, Procedia Comput. Sci., 98, 578–583, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2016.09.090, 2016.
KFS: Landslide Information System – Landslide Prediction Information, Korea Forest Service (KFS), Korea Forest Service Landslide Information System, https://sansatai.forest.go.kr/mhms_pub/mhms/main/mainPage.do (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Khan, M. Y., Shafique, M., Turab, S. A., and Ahmad, N.: Characterization of an unstable slope using geophysical, UAV, and geological techniques: Karakoram Himalaya, Northern Pakistan, Front. Earth Sci., 9, 668011, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.668011, 2021.
Konagai, K., Karunawardena, A., Bandara, K. N., Sassa, K., Onishi, R., Uzuoka, R., Asano, S., Sasahara, K., Jayakody, S., and Ariyarathna, I.: Early warning system against rainfall-induced landslide in Sri Lanka, in: Progress in Landslide Research and Technology, Volume 1 Issue 1, 2022, 217–235, Cham: Springer International Publishing, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-16898-7_16, 2023.
Kong, V. W. W., Kwan, J. S. H., and Pun, W. K.: Hong Kong's landslip warning system – 40 years of progress, Landslides, 17, 1453–1463, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01379-6, 2020.
Krøgli, I. K., Devoli, G., Colleuille, H., Boje, S., Sund, M., and Engen, I. K.: The Norwegian forecasting and warning service for rainfall- and snowmelt-induced landslides, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1427–1450, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1427-2018, 2018.
Kumar, M. N. and Ramesh, M. V.: Accurate IoT based slope instability sensing system for landslide detection, IEEE Sens. J., 22, 17151–17161, https://doi.org/10.1109/JSEN.2022.3189903, 2022.
Lay, T.: Why giant earthquakes keep catching us out, Nature, 483, 149–150, https://doi.org/10.1038/483149a, 2012.
Lee, R., White, C. J., Adnan, M. S. G., Douglas, J., Mahecha, M. D., O'Loughlin, F. E., Patelli, E., Ramos, A. M., Roberts, M. J., Martius, O., Tubaldi, E., van den Hurk, B., Ward, P. J., and Zscheischler, J.: Reclassifying historical disasters: From single to multi-hazards, Sci. Total Environ., 912, 169120, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169120, 2024.
Lempert, R. J., Busch, L., Brown, R., Patton, A., Turner, S., Schmidt, J., and Young, T.: Community-Level, Participatory Co-Design for Landslide Warning with Implications for Climate Services, Sustainability, 15, 4294, https://doi.org/10.3390/su15054294, 2023.
Lin, W., Palau, R. M., Hürlimann, M., Yin, K., and Li, Y.: A Regional-Scale Early Warning System for Rainfall-Induced Shallow Landslides Based on the Outputs of a Physically Based Model: Application to Cili County, China, Water, 18, 168, https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020168, 2026.
Liu, L., Deng, J., and Tang, Y.: A dynamic management and integration framework for models in landslide early warning system, ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Info., 12, 198, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi12050198, 2023a.
Liu, S., Du, J., Yin, K., Zhou, C., Huang, C., Jiang, J., and Yu, J.: Regional early warning model for rainfall induced landslide based on slope unit in Chongqing, China, Eng. Geol., 333, 107464, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2024.107464, 2024.
Liu, Y., Hazarika, H., Kanaya, H., Takiguchi, O., Murai, M., Hidayat, M. N., and Kochi, Y.: Design and Deployment of an IoT-based Landslide Early Warning System, in: 2022 International Conference and Utility Exhibition on Energy, Environ. Clim. Change (ICUE), 1–7, IEEE, https://doi.org/10.1109/ICUE55325.2022.10113491, 2022.
Liu, Y., Hazarika, H., Murai, M., and Kochi, Y.: An IoT-based sustainable early warning system for rainfall induced landslides, in: Smart Geotechnics for Smart Societies, 1141–1144, CRC Press, https://doi.org/10.1201/9781003299127-161, 2023b.
MGB-V.: Mines and Geosciences Bureau Regional Office V., Mines and Geosciences Bureau Regional Office V (MGB-V), Department of Environment and Natural Resources, https://region5.mgb.gov.ph/ (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Miraballes, M. N. L.: Establishing Landslide Early Warning System Using Rainfall Thresholds in the Province of Albay, Philippines, Mines and Geosciences Bureau Region V (MGB-V), Official MGB technical document, https://mgb.gov.ph/images/Research__Development/12_-_T06_ESTABLISHING_LANDSLIDE_EARLY_WARNING_SYSTEM_USING_RAINFALL.pdf (last access: 21 October 2026), 2021.
Mondal, A. U., Liu, X., and Li, B.: Development and Deployment of IoT-Based Early Warning System for Rainfall-Induced Landslides Using Surface and Subsurface Sensors and Its Application, Appl. Sci., 16, 5738, https://doi.org/10.3390/app16125738, 2026.
Murgia, E., Galli, A., Rinaldi, A., Agostino, I., Peca, M., Morgia, M., and Innocca, F.: SANF-RFI: An operational early warning system for rainfall-induced landslides along the Italian railway network, Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part F: Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit, OnlineFirst, https://doi.org/10.1177/09544097261456885, 2026.
Naidu, S., Sajinkumar, K. S., Oommen, T., Anuja, V. J., Samuel, R. A., and Muraleedharan, C.: Early warning system for shallow landslides using rainfall threshold and slope stability analysis, Geosci. Front., 9, 1871–1882, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2017.10.008, 2018.
NDMA: Disasters Early Warning 2 (DEW 2), National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), Pakistan, NDMA Disaster Early Warning 2, https://ndma.gov.pk/ (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Niyibizi, J. P. and Valentino, R.: A Comprehensive Landslide Early Warning System for Rwanda: Integrating Predictive Modeling, Environmental Parameters, and Community Engagement, Int. J. Appl. Adv. Sci. Res., 10, 48–60, 2025.
Nocentini, N., Medici, C., Barbadori, F., Gatto, A., Franceschini, R., Del Soldato, M., Rosi, A., and Segoni, S.: Optimization of rainfall thresholds for landslide early warning through false alarm reduction and a multi-source validation, Landslides, 21, 557–571, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-023-02176-7, 2024.
NWS: Post-fire burn scar – Debris flow and flash flooding, National Weather Service (NWS), Seattle, WA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://www.weather.gov/sew/burnscar (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Ofoeda, J., Boateng, R., and Effah, J.: Application programming interface (API) research: A review of the past to inform the future, Int. J. Enterp. Info. Syst. (IJEIS), 15, 76–95, https://doi.org/10.4018/IJEIS.2019070105, 2019.
Ozturk, U., Bozzolan, E., Holcombe, E. A., Shukla, R., Pianosi, F., and Wagener, T.: How climate change and unplanned urban sprawl bring more landslides, Nature, 608, 262–265, https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-02141-9, 2022.
Park, J. Y., Lee, S.-R., Lee, D.-H., and Choi, G. M.: A study of the combination of risk analysis with a citywide landslide early warning system, WIT T. Eng. Sci., 121, 21–31, https://doi.org/10.2495/RISK180021, 2018.
Patton, A. I., Luna, L. V., Roering, J. J., Jacobs, A., Korup, O., and Mirus, B. B.: Landslide initiation thresholds in data-sparse regions: application to landslide early warning criteria in Sitka, Alaska, USA, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3261–3284, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3261-2023, 2023.
Pecoraro, G., Calvello, M., and Piciullo, L.: Monitoring strategies for local landslide early warning systems, Landslides, 16, 213–231, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-018-1068-z, 2019.
Perera, D., Seidou, O., Agnihotri, J., Rasmy, M., Smakhtin, V., Coulibaly, P., and Mehmood, H.: Flood early warning systems: a review of benefits, challenges and prospects, UNU-INWEH, Hamilton, https://collections.unu.edu/view/UNU:8272 (last access: 29 October 2026), 2019.
Petley, D. N.: On the impact of urban landslides, Geological Society, London, Engineering Geology Special Publications, 22, 83–99, https://doi.org/10.1144/egsp22.6, 2009.
Pfeiffer, S., Dewi, M., Dall, K., Reichstein, M., Usamah, M., Werners, S. E., Shekhar, H., and Hagenlocher, M.: Strengthening equitable, impact-based early warning through artificial intelligence: four key perspectives, PreventionWeb, https://www.preventionweb.net/drr-community-voices/strengthening-equitable-impact-based-early-warning (last access: 21 October 2026), 2024.
Piciullo, L., Dahl, M.-P., Devoli, G., Colleuille, H., and Calvello, M.: Adapting the EDuMaP method to test the performance of the Norwegian early warning system for weather-induced landslides, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 817–831, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-817-2017, 2017.
Piciullo, L., Calvello, M., and Cepeda, J. M.: Territorial early warning systems for rainfall-induced landslides, Earth-Sci. Rev., 179, 228–247, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.02.013, 2018.
Ponziani, F., Ciuffi, P., Bayer, B., Berni, N., Franceschini, S., and Simoni, A.: Regional-scale InSAR investigation and landslide early warning thresholds in Umbria, Italy, Eng. Geol., 327, 107352, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2023.107352, 2023.
Prakasam, C., Aravinth, R., Kanwar, V. S., and Nagarajan, B.: Design and Development of Real-time landslide early warning system through low cost soil and rainfall sensors, Materials Today: Proceedings, 45, 5649–5654, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matpr.2021.02.456, 2021.
RCP: Multi-Hazard Emergency (Lifesaving) Relocation Protocol for the Rohingya Refugee Response in Bangladesh, Rohingya Coordination Platform (RCP), Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh, https://rohingyaresponse.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/MULTI-HAZARD-EMERGENCY-LIFESAVING (last access: 29 October 2026), 2026.
Rokhideh, M., Fearnley, C., and Budimir, M.: Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction: Achievements, Gaps, and Future Directions, Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci., 16, 103–116, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-025-00622-9, 2025.
Rossi, M., Marchesini, I., Tonelli, G., Peruccacci, S., Brunetti, M. T., Luciani, S., Ardizzone, F., Balducci, V., Bianchi, C., Cardinali, M., Fiorucci, F., Mondini, A.C., Reichenbach, P., Salvati, P., Santangelo, M., and Guzzetti, F.: TXT-tool 2.039-1.1 Italian national early warning system, Landslide Dynamics: ISDR-ICL Landslide Interactive Teaching Tools: Volume 1: Fundamentals, Mapping and Monitoring, 341–349, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57774-6_24, 2018.
Salam, R., Pla, F., Ahmed, B., and Painho, M.: A Convolutional Neural Network-based approach for automatically detecting rainfall-induced shallow landslides in a data-sparse context, Nat. Hazard. Res., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nhres.2024.09.001, 2024.
Sapena, M., Gamperl, M., Kühnl, M., Garcia-Londoño, C., Singer, J., and Taubenböck, H.: Cost estimation for the monitoring instrumentation of landslide early warning systems, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3913–3930, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3913-2023, 2023.
Satyaningsih, R., Jetten, V., Ettema, J., Sopaheluwakan, A., Lombardo, L., and Nuryanto, D. E.: Dynamic rainfall thresholds for landslide early warning in Progo Catchment, Java, Indonesia, Nat. Hazard., 119, 2133–2158, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06208-2, 2023.
Segoni, S., Battistini, A., Rossi, G., Rosi, A., Lagomarsino, D., Catani, F., Moretti, S., and Casagli, N.: Technical Note: An operational landslide early warning system at regional scale based on space–time-variable rainfall thresholds, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 853–861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-853-2015, 2015.
Segoni, S., Piciullo, L., and Gariano, S. L.: Preface: Landslide early warning systems: monitoring systems, rainfall thresholds, warning models, performance evaluation and risk perception, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3179–3186, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3179-2018, 2018a.
Segoni, S., Rosi, A., Fanti, R., Gallucci, A., Monni, A., and Casagli, N.: A regional-scale landslide warning system based on 20 years of operational experience, Water, 10, 1297, https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101297, 2018b.
Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Di Luca, A., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., and Zhou, B.: Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate, in: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R., and Zhou, B., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1513–1766, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013, 2021.
Singh, A., Dhiman, N., Niraj, K. C., and Shukla, D. P.: Ensembled transfer learning approach for error reduction in landslide susceptibility mapping of the data scare region, Sci. Rep., 14, 29060, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-76541-4, 2024.
Tang, D., Jiang, Z., Yuan, T., and Li, Y.: Stability analysis of soil slope subjected to perched water condition, KSCE J. Civil Eng., 24, 2581–2590, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-020-1728-0, 2020.
Thapa, P. S. and Adhikari, B. R.: Development of community-based landslide early warning system in the earthquake-affected areas of Nepal Himalaya, J. Mountain Sci., 16, 2701–2713, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-019-5586-5, 2019.
Tupper, A. C. and Fearnley, C. J.: Disaster early-warning systems can succeed – but collective action is needed, Nature, 623, 478–482, https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03510-8, 2023.
UN: Early Warnings for All. The UN Global Early Warning Initiative for the Implementation of Climate Adaptation. Executive Action Plan 2023–2027, United Nations (UN), https://library.wmo.int/records/item/58209-early-warnings-for-all (last access: 21 October 2026), 2023.
UNDRR: The disaster risk reduction (DRR) glossary, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), https://www.undrr.org/drr-glossary/terminology (last access: 21 October 2026), 2017.
UNDRR and WMO: Global status of multi-hazard early warning systems: Target G report 2022, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), World Meteorological Organization (WMO), https://www.undrr.org/publication/global-status-multi-hazard-early-warning-systems-2022 (last access: 21 October 2026), 2022.
UNDRR and WMO: Global Status of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems 2025, United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and World Meteorological Organization (WMO), https://www.undrr.org/reports/global-status-mhews-2025 (last access: 21 October 2026), 2025.
UNISDR: Yokohama strategy and plan of action for a safer world: Guidelines for natural disaster prevention, preparedness and mitigation, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), https://www.undrr.org/publication/yokohama-strategy-and-plan-action-safer-world-guidelines (last access: 21 October 2026), 1994.
UNISDR: Hyogo Framework for Action 2005–2015: Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), https://www.undrr.org/publication/hyogo-framework-action-2005-2015-building-resilience (last access: 21 October 2026), 2005.
UNISDR: Global Survey of Early Warning Systems, https://www.undrr.org/publication/global-survey-early-warning-systems (last access: 21 October 2026), 2006.
UNISDR: 2009 UNISDR Terminology on Disaster Risk Reduction, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), Geneva, Switzerland, https://www.undrr.org/publication/2009-unisdr-terminology-disaster-risk-reduction (last access: 21 October 2026), 2009.
UNISDR: Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, United Nations, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030 (last access: 21 October 2026), 2015.
USGS: Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard Maps, Landslide Hazards Program, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), https://www.usgs.gov/programs/landslide-hazards/science/postfire-debris-flow-hazard-maps (last access: 21 October 2026), 2026.
Varnes, D. J.: Slope movement types and processes, in: Landslides: Analysis and Control, edited by: Schuster, R. L. and Krizek, R. J., Transportation Research Board Special Report 176, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC, 11–33, https://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/sr/sr176/176-002.pdf (last access: 29 October 2026), 1978.
Werthmann, C., Sapena, M., Kühnl, M., Singer, J., Garcia, C., Breuninger, T., Gamperl, M., Menschik, B., Schäfer, H., Schröck, S., Seiler, L., Thuro, K., and Taubenböck, H.: Insights into the development of a landslide early warning system prototype in an informal settlement: the case of Bello Oriente in Medellín, Colombia, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1843–1870, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1843-2024, 2024.
WHO.: Landslides, World Health Organization (WHO), https://www.who.int/health-topics/landslides (last access: 21 October 2026), 2025.
Wieczorek, G. F. and Snyder, J. B.: Monitoring slope movements, in Young, R., Norby, L., Geological Monitoring: Boulder, Colorado, Geol. Soc. Am., p. 245–271, https://doi.org/10.1130/2009.monitoring(11), 2009.
Wu, D., Wang, Y., Zhang, F., and Qiu, Y.: Influences of Pore-Water Pressure on Slope Stability considering Strength Nonlinearity, Adv. Civil Eng., 2021, 8823899, https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/8823899, 2021.
Ya'acob, N., Tajudin, N., and Azize, A. M.: Rainfall–landslide early warning system (RLEWS) using TRMM precipitation estimates, Indonesian J. Elect. Eng. Comput. Sci., 13, 1259–1266, https://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v13.i3.pp1259-1266, 2019.
Yang, Z., Shao, W., Qiao, J., Huang, D., Tian, H., Lei, X., and Uchimura, T.: A Multi-Source Early Warning System of MEMS Based Wireless Monitoring for Rainfall-Induced Landslides, Appl. Sci., 7, 1234, https://doi.org/10.3390/app7121234, 2017.
Yin, H. Y., Lee, C. Y., and Jan, C. D.: A Web-Based Decision Support System for Debris Flow Disaster Management in Taiwan, in: Engineering Geology for Society and Territory – Volume 3, 109–113, Springer, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09054-2_21, 2015.
Short summary
Rainfall-triggered landslides threaten communities worldwide, yet many warning systems remain difficult to sustain or scale up. We reviewed 45 systems through the lens of the UN EW4All (United Nations ‘Early Warnings for All’) framework. We found 27 systems operational, but major gaps remained in risk mapping, data availability, community involvement, funding, and institutional capacity. Effective global warning coverage requires locally adapted, well-funded, institutionally capable, and people-centred approaches.
Rainfall-triggered landslides threaten communities worldwide, yet many warning systems remain...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint