Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5261-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5261-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
Research article
 | 
27 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 27 Oct 2026

An internally consistent framework for calculating cascading probabilistic earthquake risk and its application to a case study in New Zealand

Jose Moratalla, David Burbidge, Jean Roger, Katie Jones, Angela Griffin, Christof Mueller, Uma Ashok, Finn Scheele, Yaseen Mahmood, and Edith Bretherton

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Short summary
We developed a model that links earthquakes with related hazards such as tsunami, liquefaction, and landslides to show how they jointly affect buildings. Using large-scale computer simulations for the city of Napier in New Zealand, we produced maps and risk metrics that describe expected damage levels for individual hazards and for their combined effects across thousands of homes.
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