Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4257-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4257-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Research article
 | 
04 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 04 Sep 2026

Future fire weather projections show the importance of mitigation and adaptation for dynamic fire management

Inika Taylor, Douglas I. Kelley, Camilla Mathison, Karina E. Bett-Williams, Andrew J. Hartley, Richard A. Betts, Chantelle Burton, and Maria L. F. Barbosa

Viewed

Total article views: 7,364 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
5,926 1,214 224 7,364 182 310
  • HTML: 5,926
  • PDF: 1,214
  • XML: 224
  • Total: 7,364
  • BibTeX: 182
  • EndNote: 310
Views and downloads (calculated since 24 Mar 2025)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 24 Mar 2025)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 7,364 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 7,364 with geography defined and 0 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 05 Sep 2026
Download
Short summary
We present future climate change projections that show increasing fire danger worldwide. Focusing on Australia, Brazil, and the USA, we show that limiting warming to 2 °C reduces the increase in fire danger. However, fire seasons still lengthen and intensify even at 1.5 °C, demonstrating the need for mitigation to limit impacts and adaptation to manage residual risk. Low-fire danger periods persist, but we show their timing and duration will shift and must be considered in fire management.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint