Articles | Volume 26, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3579-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3579-2026
Research article
 | 
31 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 31 Jul 2026

Impact of warming on rainfall changes in damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution convection-permitting models

Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (23 Mar 2026) by Joaquim G. Pinto
AR by Rafaela Jane Delfino on behalf of the Authors (01 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 May 2026) by Joaquim G. Pinto
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (10 Jun 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (10 Jun 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (10 Jun 2026) by Joaquim G. Pinto
AR by Rafaela Jane Delfino on behalf of the Authors (16 Jun 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (10 Jul 2026) by Joaquim G. Pinto
AR by Rafaela Jane Delfino on behalf of the Authors (13 Jul 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
High-resolution simulations reveal that future warming amplifies tropical cyclone extreme rainfall in the Philippines, with inner-core increases exceeding 30–40 %, indicating a shift toward higher-intensity rainfall events. This response is primarily driven by thermodynamic moisture increases, while dynamical changes generally offset part of the increase. Tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall scaling is therefore largely moisture-driven, with TC-specific dynamics modulating the magnitude of rainfall enhancement.
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