Assessment of seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field

Osinga, Sander; Leeuwenburgh, Olwijn; Vogelaar, Bouko; Pena Clavijo, Santiago; Bottero, Simona

doi:10.5194/nhess-26-3443-2026

Articles | Volume 26, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3443-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3443-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 26, issue 7

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

28 Jul 2026

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 28 Jul 2026

Assessment of seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field

Sander Osinga, Olwijn Leeuwenburgh, Bouko Vogelaar, Santiago Pena Clavijo, and Simona Bottero

Data sets

Inputdata for Nitrogen Injection study Groningen gas field Sander Osinga and Olwijn Leeuwenburgh https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17232637

Dynamic model (Eclipse version) to predict the formation pressure response to gas extraction in the Groningen gas field, The Netherlands Pradeep Tummala et al. https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-8JYW40

Model code and software

TNO/SHRA-Groningen-seismic-source-model: Version including temperature effects (2026.1) Sander Osinga et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21239920

TNO/SHRA-Groningen-hazard-risk-models: Zenodo release (2026.1) Dirk Kraaijpoel et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21239992

Editorial statement

The paper discusses in a very timely manner the seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field. The results indicate that reductions in seismicity can be achieved in all analysed scenarios and that these reductions could be substantial also for relatively modest volumes of injection gas. The results also show that benefits may be lost if injection is stopped before reservoir-wide equilibration has been achieved. These are interesting findings which enables the paper to fulfil more than one newsworthy criteria of the EGU: i.a. timing, significance, proximity, and hot topic.