Articles | Volume 26, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2691-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2691-2026
Research article
 | 
10 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 10 Jun 2026

Consistency of seismic hazard estimates from a physics-based earthquake simulator: a case study in south-eastern Spain

Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, Paula Herrero-Barbero, José A. Álvarez-Gómez, and Julián García-Mayordomo

Data sets

Earthquake cycle seismic hazard models for the Eastern Betic Shear Zone Octavi Gómez-Novell et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19471309

Model code and software

Simulator to Openquake: release 1 Octavi Gómez-Novell https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20442522

Download
Short summary
Evaluating seismic hazard requires past earthquake observations to perform accurate forecasts. Physics-based earthquake cycle simulators are algorithms that model long-term earthquake sequences on faults, overcoming completeness limitations of observations. We test the performance of physics-based seismic hazard assessments in comparison with traditional approaches in Spain. The physics-based approach yields more accurate forecasts, highlighting the potential of simulators for seismic hazard.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint