Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2051-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2051-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 May 2026
Research article |
| 08 May 2026
| 08 May 2026
The relationships between extreme winter North Atlantic extratropical cyclone hazards and modes of seasonal climate variability
Amanda C. Maycock
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Christine M. McKenna
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
JBA Consulting, Warrington, UK
Matthew D. K. Priestley
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Jacob Perez
Centre for Doctoral Training in Fluid Dynamics, School of Computing, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Julia F. Lockwood
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
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Julia F. Lockwood, Galina S. Guentchev, Alexander Alabaster, Simon J. Brown, Erika J. Palin, Malcolm J. Roberts, and Hazel E. Thornton
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Short summary
Winter North Atlantic storms cause significant financial losses and damage in Europe. This study shows that modes of seasonal large-scale climate variability called the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern modulate the exposure to cyclone related extreme wind, precipitation and storm surge hazards across many parts of Europe. The results have the potential to be combined with skilful seasonal climate forecasts of climate modes to inform the insurance sector.
Winter North Atlantic storms cause significant financial losses and damage in Europe. This study...
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