Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2051-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2051-2026
Research article
 | 
08 May 2026
Research article |  | 08 May 2026

The relationships between extreme winter North Atlantic extratropical cyclone hazards and modes of seasonal climate variability

Amanda C. Maycock, Christine M. McKenna, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Jacob Perez, Zhuo Li, and Julia F. Lockwood

Data sets

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present Copernicus Climate Change Service, Climate Data Store https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

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Short summary
Winter North Atlantic storms cause significant financial losses and damage in Europe. This study shows that modes of seasonal large-scale climate variability called the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern modulate the exposure to cyclone related extreme wind, precipitation and storm surge hazards across many parts of Europe. The results have the potential to be combined with skilful seasonal climate forecasts of climate modes to inform the insurance sector.
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