Articles | Volume 26, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1537-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1537-2026
Research article
 | 
25 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 25 Mar 2026

Tracking the slopes: a spatio-temporal prediction model for backcountry skiing activity in the Swiss Alps using user-generated content

Leonie Schäfer, Frank Techel, Günter Schmudlach, and Ross S. Purves

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2344', Anonymous Referee #1, 13 Aug 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Leonie Schäfer, 26 Sep 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Leonie Schäfer, 26 Sep 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2344', John Sykes, 21 Aug 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Leonie Schäfer, 26 Sep 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (28 Oct 2025) by Pascal Haegeli
AR by Leonie Schäfer on behalf of the Authors (11 Dec 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (16 Feb 2026) by Pascal Haegeli
AR by Leonie Schäfer on behalf of the Authors (19 Feb 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Backcountry skiing is a popular form of recreation in Switzerland and worldwide, despite numerous avalanche accidents and fatalities that are recorded each year. There is a need for spatially explicit information on backcountry usage for effective risk estimations and avalanche forecast verification. We used GPS tracks and online engagement data to model and predict daily backcountry skiing base rates in the Swiss Alps based on a set of snow, weather, temporal and environmental variables.
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