Articles | Volume 24, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4091-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4091-2024
Research article
 | 
27 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 27 Nov 2024

A multivariate statistical framework for mixed storm types in compound flood analysis

Pravin Maduwantha, Thomas Wahl, Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Robert Jane, James F. Booth, Hanbeen Kim, and Gabriele Villarini

Related authors

Large discrepancies between event- and response-based compound flood hazard estimates
Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Pravin Maduwantha, Alejandra R. Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1938,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1938, 2025
Short summary
Generating Boundary Conditions for Compound Flood Modeling in a Probabilistic Framework
Pravin Maduwantha, Thomas Wahl, Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Robert Jane, Sönke Dangendorf, Hanbeen Kim, and Gabriele Villarini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
It could have been much worse: spatial counterfactuals of the July 2021 flood in the Ahr Valley, Germany
Sergiy Vorogushyn, Li Han, Heiko Apel, Viet Dung Nguyen, Björn Guse, Xiaoxiang Guan, Oldrich Rakovec, Husain Najafi, Luis Samaniego, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2007–2029, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2007-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2007-2025, 2025
Short summary
Rapid high-resolution impact-based flood early warning is possible with RIM2D: a showcase for the 2023 pluvial flood in Braunschweig
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Heiko Apel, Kai Schröter, and Max Steinhausen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1737–1749, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1737-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1737-2025, 2025
Short summary
The 2018–2023 drought in Berlin: impacts and analysis of the perspective of water resources management
Ina Pohle, Sarah Zeilfelder, Johannes Birner, and Benjamin Creutzfeldt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1293–1313, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025, 2025
Short summary
Recent large-inland-lake outbursts on the Tibetan Plateau: processes, causes, and mechanisms
Fenglin Xu, Yong Liu, Guoqing Zhang, Ping Zhao, R. Iestyn Woolway, Yani Zhu, Jianting Ju, Tao Zhou, Xue Wang, and Wenfeng Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1187–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025, 2025
Short summary
Modelling urban stormwater drainage overflows for assessing flood hazards: application to the urban area of Dakar (Senegal)
Laurent Pascal Malang Diémé, Christophe Bouvier, Ansoumana Bodian, and Alpha Sidibé
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1095–1112, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Akaike, H.: A new look at the statistical model identification, IEEE T. Automat. Contr., 19, 716–723, https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1974.1100705, 1974. 
Barth, N. A., Villarini, G., and White, K.: Accounting for Mixed Populations in Flood Frequency Analysi.: Bulletin 17C Perspective, J. Hydrol. Eng., 24, 4019002, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)he.1943-5584.0001762, 2019. 
Bass, B. and Bedient, P.: Surrogate modeling of joint flood risk across coastal watersheds, J. Hydrol. (Amst), 558, 159–173, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.01.014, 2018. 
Bauer, M., Tselioudis, G., and Rossow, W. B.: A new climatology for investigating storm influences in and on the extratropics, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 55, 1287–1303, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0245.1, 2016. 
Download
Short summary
When assessing the likelihood of compound flooding, most studies ignore that it can arise from different storm types with distinct statistical characteristics. Here, we present a new statistical framework that accounts for these differences and shows how neglecting these can impact the likelihood of compound flood potential.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint