Articles | Volume 24, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-375-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-375-2024
Research article
 | 
05 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 05 Feb 2024

Current and future rainfall-driven flood risk from hurricanes in Puerto Rico under 1.5 and 2 °C climate change

Leanne Archer, Jeffrey Neal, Paul Bates, Emily Vosper, Dereka Carroll, Jeison Sosa, and Daniel Mitchell

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1574', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Nov 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Leanne Archer, 10 Nov 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1574', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Nov 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Leanne Archer, 22 Nov 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (04 Dec 2023) by Yves Bühler
AR by Leanne Archer on behalf of the Authors (13 Dec 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (18 Dec 2023) by Yves Bühler
AR by Leanne Archer on behalf of the Authors (22 Dec 2023)
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Short summary
We model hurricane-rainfall-driven flooding to assess how the number of people exposed to flooding changes in Puerto Rico under the 1.5 and 2 °C Paris Agreement goals. Our analysis suggests 8 %–10 % of the population is currently exposed to flooding on average every 5 years, increasing by 2 %–15 % and 1 %–20 % at 1.5 and 2 °C. This has implications for adaptation to more extreme flooding in Puerto Rico and demonstrates that 1.5 °C climate change carries a significant increase in risk.
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