Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 24, issue 8
Articles | Volume 24, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 24, issue 8
Research article
 | 
15 Aug 2024
Research article |  | 15 Aug 2024

A large-scale validation of snowpack simulations in support of avalanche forecasting focusing on critical layers

Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, and Patrick Mair

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Latest update: 06 Mar 2025
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Short summary
Snowpack simulations are increasingly employed by avalanche warning services to inform about critical avalanche layers buried in the snowpack. However, validity concerns limit their operational value. We present methods that enable meaningful comparisons between snowpack simulations and regional assessments of avalanche forecasters to quantify the performance of the Canadian weather and snowpack model chain to represent thin critical avalanche layers on a large scale and in real time.
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