Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2093-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2093-2024
Research article
 | 
28 Jun 2024
Research article |  | 28 Jun 2024

Evaluating post-wildfire debris-flow rainfall thresholds and volume models at the 2020 Grizzly Creek Fire in Glenwood Canyon, Colorado, USA

Francis K. Rengers, Samuel Bower, Andrew Knapp, Jason W. Kean, Danielle W. vonLembke, Matthew A. Thomas, Jaime Kostelnik, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew Bethel, Joseph E. Gartner, Madeline Hille, Dennis M. Staley, Justin K. Anderson, Elizabeth K. Roberts, Stephen B. DeLong, Belize Lane, Paxton Ridgway, and Brendan P. Murphy

Related authors

An improved empirical model for predicting postfire debris-flow volume in the western United States
Alexander N. Gorr, Francis K. Rengers, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew A. Thomas, and Jason W. Kean
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572, 2026
Short summary
Evaluation of debris-flow building damage forecasts
Katherine R. Barnhart, Christopher R. Miller, Francis K. Rengers, and Jason W. Kean
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1459–1483, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1459-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1459-2024, 2024
Short summary
Characteristics of debris-flow-prone watersheds and debris-flow-triggering rainstorms following the Tadpole Fire, New Mexico, USA
Luke A. McGuire, Francis K. Rengers, Ann M. Youberg, Alexander N. Gorr, Olivia J. Hoch, Rebecca Beers, and Ryan Porter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1357–1379, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1357-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1357-2024, 2024
Short summary
The influence of large woody debris on post-wildfire debris flow sediment storage
Francis K. Rengers, Luke A. McGuire, Katherine R. Barnhart, Ann M. Youberg, Daniel Cadol, Alexander N. Gorr, Olivia J. Hoch, Rebecca Beers, and Jason W. Kean
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2075–2088, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2075-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2075-2023, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Abatzoglou, J. T., Juang, C. S., Williams, A. P., Kolden, C. A., and Westerling, A. L.: Increasing synchronous fire danger in forests of the western United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091377, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091377, 2021. 
Adams, D. K. and Comrie, A. C.: The North American Monsoon, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2197–2213, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<2197:TNAM>2.0.CO;2, 1997. 
Alessio, P., Dunne, T., and Morell, K.: Post-wildfire Generation of Debris-flow Slurry by Rill Erosion on Colluvial Hillslopes, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 126, e2021JF006108, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JF006108, 2021. 
Allen, J. L. and Shaw, C. A.: Proterozoic geology and Phanerozoic reactivation of the newly recognized Grizzly Creek shear zone, Glenwood Canyon, Colorado, Geological Society of America, https://doi.org//10.1130/2007.fld010(03), 2008. 
Arcement, G. J. and Schneider, V. R.: Guide for selecting Manning's roughness coefficients for natural channels and flood plains, USGS, https://doi.org/10.3133/wsp2339, 1989. 
Download
Short summary
Every year the U.S. Geological Survey produces 50–100 postfire debris-flow hazard assessments using models for debris-flow likelihood and volume. To refine these models they must be tested with datasets that clearly document rainfall, debris-flow response, and debris-flow volume. These datasets are difficult to obtain, but this study developed and analyzed a postfire dataset with more than 100 postfire storm responses over a 2-year period. We also proposed ways to improve these models.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint