Articles | Volume 22, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3957-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3957-2022
Research article
 | 
12 Dec 2022
Research article |  | 12 Dec 2022

Multiscale flood risk assessment under climate change: the case of the Miño River in the city of Ourense, Spain

Diego Fernández-Nóvoa, Orlando García-Feal, José González-Cao, Maite deCastro, and Moncho Gómez-Gesteira

Related authors

How to mitigate flood events similar to the 1979 catastrophic floods in the lower Tagus
Diego Fernández-Nóvoa, Alexandre M. Ramos, José González-Cao, Orlando García-Feal, Cristina Catita, Moncho Gómez-Gesteira, and Ricardo M. Trigo
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 609–630, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-609-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-609-2024, 2024
Short summary
Comparison of machine learning techniques for reservoir outflow forecasting
Orlando García-Feal, José González-Cao, Diego Fernández-Nóvoa, Gonzalo Astray Dopazo, and Moncho Gómez-Gesteira
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3859–3874, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3859-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3859-2022, 2022
Short summary
Towards an automatic early warning system of flood hazards based on precipitation forecast: the case of the Miño River (NW Spain)
José González-Cao, Orlando García-Feal, Diego Fernández-Nóvoa, José Manuel Domínguez-Alonso, and Moncho Gómez-Gesteira
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2583–2595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2583-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2583-2019, 2019
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
Recent large-inland-lake outbursts on the Tibetan Plateau: processes, causes, and mechanisms
Fenglin Xu, Yong Liu, Guoqing Zhang, Ping Zhao, R. Iestyn Woolway, Yani Zhu, Jianting Ju, Tao Zhou, Xue Wang, and Wenfeng Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1187–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025, 2025
Short summary
Modelling urban stormwater drainage overflows for assessing flood hazards: application to the urban area of Dakar (Senegal)
Laurent Pascal Malang Diémé, Christophe Bouvier, Ansoumana Bodian, and Alpha Sidibé
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1095–1112, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025, 2025
Short summary
Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan
Nazir Ahmed Bazai, Mehtab Alam, Peng Cui, Wang Hao, Adil Poshad Khan, Muhammad Waseem, Yao Shunyu, Muhammad Ramzan, Li Wanhong, and Tashfain Ahmed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1071–1093, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1071-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1071-2025, 2025
Short summary
Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analysis of the RIM2D hydrodynamic model for the 2021 flood event in western Germany
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Patricio Yeste, Heiko Apel, and Viet Dung Nguyen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 975–990, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-975-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-975-2025, 2025
Short summary
Mind the gap: misalignment between drought monitoring and community realities
Sarra Kchouk, Louise Cavalcante, Lieke A. Melsen, David W. Walker, Germano Ribeiro Neto, Rubens Gondim, Wouter J. Smolenaars, and Pieter R. van Oel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 893–912, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-893-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-893-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Alderman, K., Turner, L. R., and Tong, S.: Floods and human health: a systematic review, Environ. Int., 47, 37–47, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2012.06.003, 2012. 
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., de Roo, A., Salamon, P., Wyser, K., and Feyen, L.: Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world, Earth's Future, 5, 171–182. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000485, 2017. 
Areu-Rangel, O. S., Cea, L., Bonasia, R., and Espinosa-Echavarria, V. J.: Impact of urban growth and changes in land use on river flood hazard in Villahermosa, Tabasco (Mexico), Water, 11, 304, https://doi.org/10.3390/w11020304, 2019. 
Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Climatic Change, 134, 387–401, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5, 2016. 
Benito, G., Machado, M. J., and Pérez González, A.: Climate change and flood sensivity in Spain, in: Global continental Changes: the context of palaeohydrology, edited by: Brarndson, J., Brown, A. G. and Gregory, K. L., Geological Society Special Publication no. 115, 85–98, Londres, https://doi.org/10.1144/GSL.SP.1996.115.01.08, 1996. 
Download
Short summary
A multiscale analysis, where the historical and future precipitation data from the CORDEX project were used as input in a hydrological model (HEC-HMS) that, in turn, feeds a 2D hydraulic model (Iber+), was applied to the case of the Miño-Sil basin (NW Spain), specifically to Ourense city, in order to analyze future changes in flood hazard. Detailed flood maps indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of future floods, implying an increase in flood hazard in important areas of the city.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint