Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-695-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-695-2020
Research article
 | 
02 Mar 2020
Research article |  | 02 Mar 2020

Global-scale drought risk assessment for agricultural systems

Isabel Meza, Stefan Siebert, Petra Döll, Jürgen Kusche, Claudia Herbert, Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei, Hamideh Nouri, Helena Gerdener, Eklavyya Popat, Janna Frischen, Gustavo Naumann, Jürgen V. Vogt, Yvonne Walz, Zita Sebesvari, and Michael Hagenlocher

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Beccari, B.: A Comparative Analysis of Disaster Risk, Vulnerability and Resilience Composite Indicators, Plos Currents, 8, https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.dis.453df025e34b682e9737f95, 2016. 
Beck, H. E., Zimmermann, N. E., McVicar, T. R., Vergopolan, N., Berg, A., and Wood, E. F.: Present and future Köppen–Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution, Scient. Data, 5, 180214, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4128-0, 2018. 
Carrão, H., Naumann, G., and Barbosa, P.: Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability, Global Environ. Change, 39, 108–124, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.012, 2016. 
Carrão, H., Naumann, G., and Barbosa, P.: Global projections of drought hazard in a warming climate: a prime for disaster risk management, Clim. Dynam., 50, 2137–2155, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3740-8, 2017. 
CRED and UNISDR: Economic losses, poverty & disasters: 1998–2017, available at: https://www.unisdr.org/files/61119_credeconomiclosses.pdf (last access: 13 May 2019), 2018. 
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The paper presents, for the first time, a global-scale drought risk assessment for both irrigated and rainfed agricultural systems while considering drought hazard indicators, exposure and expert-weighted vulnerability indicators. We identify global patterns of drought risk and, by disaggregating risk into its underlying components and factors, provide entry points for risk reduction.
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