Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020
Research article
 | 
30 Apr 2020
Research article |  | 30 Apr 2020

Improving early warning of drought-driven food insecurity in southern Africa using operational hydrological monitoring and forecasting products

Shraddhanand Shukla, Kristi R. Arsenault, Abheera Hazra, Christa Peters-Lidard, Randal D. Koster, Frank Davenport, Tamuka Magadzire, Chris Funk, Sujay Kumar, Amy McNally, Augusto Getirana, Greg Husak, Ben Zaitchik, Jim Verdin, Faka Dieudonne Nsadisa, and Inbal Becker-Reshef

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Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (29 Nov 2019) by Carmelo Cammalleri
AR by Shraddhanand Shukla on behalf of the Authors (23 Jan 2020)  Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Feb 2020) by Carmelo Cammalleri
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 Feb 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (15 Feb 2020)
ED: Publish as is (25 Feb 2020) by Carmelo Cammalleri
AR by Shraddhanand Shukla on behalf of the Authors (03 Mar 2020)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
The region of southern Africa is prone to climate-driven food insecurity events, as demonstrated by the major drought event in 2015–2016. This study demonstrates that recently developed NASA Hydrological Forecasting and Analysis System-based root-zone soil moisture monitoring and forecasting products are well correlated with interannual regional crop yield, can identify below-normal crop yield events and provide skillful crop yield forecasts, and hence support early warning of food insecurity.
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