Articles | Volume 16, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-577-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-577-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters
Katsuichiro Goda
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil Engineering, Queen's School of
Engineering, University of Bristol, Queen's Building, University Walk,
Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
Kamilla Abilova
Department of Engineering Science, University of
Oxford, Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3PJ, UK
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Multi-hazard loss estimation for shaking and tsunami using stochastic rupture sources K. Goda & R. De Risi
- Estimating Tsunami Economic Losses of Okinawa Island with Multi-Regional-Input-Output Modeling K. Pakoksung et al.
- Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards B. Merz et al.
- TsuPy: Computational robustness in Tsunami hazard modelling A. Schäfer & F. Wenzel
- Tsunami inundation hazard across Japan J. Woessner & R. Farahani
- Multi-hazard analysis of flood and tsunamis on the western Mediterranean coast of Turkey C. Yavuz et al.
- Design and operational implementation of the integrated tsunami forecast and warning system in Chile (SIPAT) P. Catalan et al.
- Integrating seismic and tsunami data for multi-hazard consequence functions: toward scalable loss scenarios M. Zucconi et al.
- An Optimized Array Configuration of Tsunami Observation Network Off Southern Java, Indonesia I. Mulia et al.
- New Scaling Relationships of Earthquake Source Parameters for Stochastic Tsunami Simulation K. Goda et al.
- Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 2: What should constitute good practice? K. Beven et al.
- Handling Uncertainty in Models of Seismic and Postseismic Hazards: Toward Robust Methods and Resilient Societies B. MacGillivray
- Extraction of Tsunami Signals from Coupled Seismic and Tsunami Waves L. Song & C. An
- Influence of Flow Velocity on Tsunami Loss Estimation J. Song et al.
- Tsunami risk assessment: economic, environmental and social dimensions C. Yavuz et al.
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Multi-hazard loss estimation for shaking and tsunami using stochastic rupture sources K. Goda & R. De Risi
- Estimating Tsunami Economic Losses of Okinawa Island with Multi-Regional-Input-Output Modeling K. Pakoksung et al.
- Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards B. Merz et al.
- TsuPy: Computational robustness in Tsunami hazard modelling A. Schäfer & F. Wenzel
- Tsunami inundation hazard across Japan J. Woessner & R. Farahani
- Multi-hazard analysis of flood and tsunamis on the western Mediterranean coast of Turkey C. Yavuz et al.
- Design and operational implementation of the integrated tsunami forecast and warning system in Chile (SIPAT) P. Catalan et al.
- Integrating seismic and tsunami data for multi-hazard consequence functions: toward scalable loss scenarios M. Zucconi et al.
- An Optimized Array Configuration of Tsunami Observation Network Off Southern Java, Indonesia I. Mulia et al.
- New Scaling Relationships of Earthquake Source Parameters for Stochastic Tsunami Simulation K. Goda et al.
- Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment – Part 2: What should constitute good practice? K. Beven et al.
- Handling Uncertainty in Models of Seismic and Postseismic Hazards: Toward Robust Methods and Resilient Societies B. MacGillivray
- Extraction of Tsunami Signals from Coupled Seismic and Tsunami Waves L. Song & C. An
- Influence of Flow Velocity on Tsunami Loss Estimation J. Song et al.
- Tsunami risk assessment: economic, environmental and social dimensions C. Yavuz et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 May 2026
Short summary
This study investigates the issues related to underestimation of earthquake magnitude in the context of tsunami early warning and tsunami risk assessment. The investigation is motivated by the past case of early warning performance and consequences during the 2011 Tohoku tsunami in Japan. The quantitative tsunami loss results provide with valuable insights regarding the importance of deriving accurate seismic information as well as the potential biases of the anticipated tsunami consequences.
This study investigates the issues related to underestimation of earthquake magnitude in the...
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