Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake  source parameters

Goda, Katsuichiro; Abilova, Kamilla

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-577-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-577-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Risk and uncertainty estimation in natural hazards

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-577-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

Research article

|

29 Feb 2016

Research article |

| 29 Feb 2016

Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters

Katsuichiro Goda and Kamilla Abilova

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Final revised paper (published on 29 Feb 2016)
Preprint (discussion started on 18 Dec 2015)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C2972: 'Review: nhess-2015-329', James Daniell, 14 Jan 2016
- AC C3209: 'Response to Dr Daniell', Katsu Goda, 11 Feb 2016
RC C3192: 'Review of Tsunami hazard warning and risk prediction based on inaccurate earthquake source parameters by K. Goda & K. Abilova', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Feb 2016
- AC C3211: 'Response to referee 2', Katsu Goda, 11 Feb 2016
  - RC C3220: 'Response to review 2', Anonymous Referee #2, 11 Feb 2016

Short summary

This study investigates the issues related to underestimation of earthquake magnitude in the context of tsunami early warning and tsunami risk assessment. The investigation is motivated by the past case of early warning performance and consequences during the 2011 Tohoku tsunami in Japan. The quantitative tsunami loss results provide with valuable insights regarding the importance of deriving accurate seismic information as well as the potential biases of the anticipated tsunami consequences.