Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Bologna,
Bologna, Italy
Centro euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici,
Via Augusto Imperatore, 16–73100 Lecce, Italy
Paolo Oddo
Istituto Nazionale Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy
now at:
NATO Science and Technology Organization Centre for Maritime Research and
Experimentation, La Spezia, Italy
Matthew Collins
College of
Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter,
UK
Gerasimos Korres
Hellenic Center for Marine Research, 46,7 Km Athens-Sounion
Road, Anavissos, 19013, Greece
Yann Drillet
Mercator Océan, Parc Technologique
du Canal, 8–10 rue Hermès, 31520 Ramonville St Agne, France
Data sets
Multi-Model Multi-Physics DatasetIstituto Nazionale Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Operational
Oceanography Group http://oceanop.bo.ingv.it/mmse-dataset
In this work we developed a new multi-model super-ensemble method to estimate sea surface temperature, an important product of ocean analysis systems. We find that ensemble size, quality, type of members and the training period length are all important elements of the MMSE methodology and require careful calibration. We show that with a rather limited but overconfident data set (with a low bias of the starting ensemble members) the RMSE analysis can be improved.
In this work we developed a new multi-model super-ensemble method to estimate sea surface...