Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
16 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
The 1538 eruption at the Campi Flegrei resurgent caldera: implications for future unrest and eruptive scenarios
Giuseppe Rolandi, Claudia Troise, Marco Sacchi, Massimo Di Lascio, and Giuseppe De Natale
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3421–3453, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
16 Sep 2025
Brief communication: A magma depletion alternative for vent distribution in volcanic fields
Mark S. Bebbington, Melody G. Whitehead, and Gabor Kereszturi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3455–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025, 2025
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16 Sep 2025
A coastal geodetic GNSS station for tectonic and sea-level variation study in the South China Sea
Qiang Qiu, Linlin Li, Mai Ye, Hongqiang Yang, Xingyu Song, Tingting Zheng, Jinghe Cao, Peitao Wang, Zhanying Chen, Zhiwen Zhang, Kuilin Xiao, Xing Huang, Yadong Huang, Chuanyang Zheng, Zhiyuan OuYang, Xiaoming Fu, Muzhong Wang, Zhen Wang, Zitao Zhang, and Haiping Cui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
15 Sep 2025
Sectoral vulnerability to drought: exploring the role of blue and green water dependency in mid- and high-latitude regions
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3381–3395, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Implementation of an interconnected fault system in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA): the Levant fault system
Sarah El Kadri, Céline Beauval, Marlène Brax, and Yann Klinger
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3397–3419, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Brief Communication: Rejuvenating and strengthening the science-policy interface required to implement the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
Joel C. Gill
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Sep 2025
Assessment of avalanche hazard of freeride skiing areas
Adam Kupec and Štefan Koco
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Sep 2025
The dynamics of peak head responses at Dutch canal dikes and the impact of climate change
Bart Strijker and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3355–3379, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025, 2025
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12 Sep 2025
Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessments of the area comprised between west Gulf of Cádiz and east Alboran Sea
Adrián José Rosario Beltré, Carlos Paredes Bartolomé, and Miguel Llorente Isidro
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Sep 2025
The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in driving Coastal Hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Meredith Leung, Peter Ruggiero, Laura Cagigal, Dylan Anderson, and Fernando Mendez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
11 Sep 2025
Can model-based avalanche forecasts match the discriminatory skill of human danger-level forecasts? A comparison from Switzerland
Frank Techel, Ross S. Purves, Stephanie Mayer, Günter Schmudlach, and Kurt Winkler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3333–3353, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
What if extreme droughts occur more frequently? Mechanisms and limits of forest adaptation in pine monocultures and mixed forests in Berlin–Brandenburg, Germany
Jamir Priesner, Boris Sakschewski, Maik Billing, Werner von Bloh, Sebastian Fiedler, Sarah Bereswill, Kirsten Thonicke, and Britta Tietjen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3309–3331, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction
Lisa V. Luna, Jacob B. Woodard, Janice L. Bytheway, Gina M. Belair, and Benjamin B. Mirus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3279–3307, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Individual flood risk adaptation in Germany: exploring the role of different types of flooding
Lisa Dillenardt and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3257–3278, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Severe beach erosion induced by shoreline deformation after a large-scale reclamation project for the Samcheok liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in South Korea
Changbin Lim, Tae Min Lim, and Jung-Lyul Lee
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3239–3255, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
10 Sep 2025
Anatomy of a Flash Flood in a Hyperarid Environment: From Atmospheric Masses to Sediment Dispersal in the Sea
Akos Kalman, Timor Katz, Miklos Vincze, Jake Longenecker, Alysse Mathalon, Paul Hill, and Beverly Goodman-Tchernov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3201–3219, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Extreme heat and mortality in the state of Rio de Janeiro in November 2023: attribution to climate change and ENSO
Soledad Collazo, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, and Santiago Beguería
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3221–3238, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Hail events in Germany: rare or frequent natural hazards?
Tabea Wilke, Katharina Lengfeld, and Markus Schultze
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3141–3159, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Climate change impacts on floods in West Africa: new insight from two large-scale hydrological models
Serigne Bassirou Diop, Job Ekolu, Yves Tramblay, Bastien Dieppois, Stefania Grimaldi, Ansoumana Bodian, Juliette Blanchet, Ponnambalam Rameshwaran, Peter Salamon, and Benjamin Sultan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3161–3184, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Estimating future wildfire burnt area over Greece using the JULES-INFERNO model
Anastasios Rovithakis, Eleanor Burke, Chantelle Burton, Matthew Kasoar, Manolis G. Grillakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3185–3200, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
The Dual-Edged Role of Vegetation in Evaluating Landslide Susceptibility: Evidence from Watershed-Scale and Site-Specific Analyses
Songtang He, Zhenhong Shen, Jeffrey Neal, Zongji Yang, Jiangang Chen, Daojie Wang, Yujing Yang, Peng Zhao, Xudong Hu, Yongming Lin, Youtong Rong, Yanchen Zheng, Xiaoli Su, and Yong Kong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
09 Sep 2025
Exploring seismic mass-movement data with anomaly detection and dynamic time warping
Francois Kamper, Fabian Walter, Patrick Paitz, Matthias Meyer, Michele Volpi, and Mathieu Salzmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Sep 2025
Bedrock ledges, colluvial wedges, and ridgetop water towers: Characterizing geomorphic and atmospheric controls on the 2023 Wrangell landslide to inform landslide assessment in Southeast Alaska, USA
Joshua J. Roering, Margaret Darrow, Annette Patton, and Aaron Jacobs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4123,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4123, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Sep 2025
Rainfall analysis in mountain streams affected by torrential floods on Madeira Island, Portugal
Sérgio Lopes, Marcelo Fragoso, and Eusébio Reis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3109–3123, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3109-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3109-2025, 2025
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08 Sep 2025
Impacts of barrier-island breaching on mainland flooding during storm events applied to Moriches, New York
Catherine R. Jeffries, Robert Weiss, Jennifer L. Irish, and Kyle Mandli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3125–3139, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3125-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3125-2025, 2025
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08 Sep 2025
Projecting changes in rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility across China under climate change
Jinqi Wang, Hao Fang, Kai Liu, Yi Yue, Ming Wang, Bohao Li, and Xiaoyi Miao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3834,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3834, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Sep 2025
Invited perspectives: Fostering interoperability of data, models, communication, and governance for disaster resilience through transdisciplinary knowledge co-production
Kai Schröter, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Benedikt Gräler, Lydia Cumiskey, Sukaina Bharwani, Janne Parviainen, Chahan M. Kropf, Viktor Wattin Håkansson, Martin Drews, Tracy Irvine, Clarissa Dondi, Heiko Apel, Jana Löhrlein, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefano Bagli, Levente Huszti, Christopher Genillard, Silvia Unguendoli, Fred Hattermann, and Max Steinhausen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3055–3073, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3055-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3055-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
The ability of a stochastic regional weather generator to reproduce heavy-precipitation events across scales
Xiaoxiang Guan, Viet Dung Nguyen, Paul Voit, Bruno Merz, Maik Heistermann, and Sergiy Vorogushyn
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3075–3086, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3075-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3075-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
Evaluating Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration flood risk using a hybrid method of automated machine learning and analytic hierarchy process
Yu Gao, Haipeng Lu, Yaru Zhang, Hengxu Jin, Shuai Wu, Yixuan Gao, and Shuliang Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3087–3108, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3087-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3087-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
High-resolution data assimilation for two maritime extreme weather events: a comparison between 3D-Var and EnKF
Diego S. Carrió, Vincenzo Mazzarella, and Rossella Ferretti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2999–3026, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2999-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2999-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Failure of Marmolada Glacier (Dolomites, Italy) in 2022: data-based back analysis of possible collapse mechanisms
Roberto Giovanni Francese, Roberto Valentino, Wilfried Haeberli, Aldino Bondesan, Massimo Giorgi, Stefano Picotti, Franco Pettenati, Denis Sandron, Gianni Ramponi, and Mauro Valt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3027–3053, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
04 Sep 2025
Brief communication: Composite urban resilience to typhoon disasters – an assessment of 27 cities in seven major river basins, China
Zezhao Liu, Jiahui Yang, and Cong Wu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2973–2979, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2973-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2973-2025, 2025
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04 Sep 2025
Brief Communication: Drivers of the recent warming of the Mediterranean Sea, and its implications for hail risk
Stephen Cusack and Tyler Cox
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2963–2972, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2963-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2963-2025, 2025
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04 Sep 2025
The impact of active and capable faults structural complexity on seismic hazard assessment for the design of linear infrastructures
Selina Bonini, Riccardo Asti, Giulio Viola, Giulia Tartaglia, Stefano Rodani, Gianluca Benedetti, Massimo Comedini, and Gianluca Vignaroli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2981–2998, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2981-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2981-2025, 2025
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03 Sep 2025
Compound droughts have become more widespread globally
Marko Kallio, Pihla Seppälä, Lauri Ahopelto, Amy Fallon, Pekka Kinnunen, Matias Heino, and Matti Kummu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3909,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3909, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Sep 2025
Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar
Herijaona Hani-Roge Hundilida Randriatsara, Eva Holtanova, Karim Rizwan, Hassen Babaousmail, Mirindra Finaritra Tanteliniaina Rabezanahary, Kokou Romaric Posset, Donnata Alupot, and Brian Odhiambo Ayugi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2939–2961, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025, 2025
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29 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Turning regret into future disaster preparedness with no regrets
Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2929–2938, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
28 Aug 2025
An efficient method to simulate wildfire propagation using irregular grids
Conor Hackett, Rafael de Andrade Moral, Gourav Misra, Tim McCarthy, and Charles Markham
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2909–2928, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025, 2025
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28 Aug 2025
Sustainable risk management of trouble spots caused by heavy rainfall events: Citizen Science app and data analytics for residents and authorities
Jaqueline Hoffmann, Sascha Nau, Sabrina Abler, Vincent Theis, Peter Fischer-Stabel, Julian Janßen, and Andreas Abecker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
27 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Impact-based temporal clustering of multiple meteorological hazard types in southwestern Germany
Katharina Küpfer, Alexandre Tuel, and Michael Kunz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2885–2907, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Aug 2025
Reask UTC: a machine learning modeling framework to generate climate-connected tropical cyclone event sets globally
Thomas Loridan and Nicolas Bruneau
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2863–2884, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025, 2025
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26 Aug 2025
Detection of atmospheric rivers affecting the Mediterranean and producing extreme rainfall over northern-central Italy
Silvio Davolio, Isacco Sala, Alessandro Comunian, Daniele Mastrangelo, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Lucia Drago Pitura, and Federico Grazzini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Aug 2025
Long-term hazard of pyroclastic density currents at Vesuvius (Southern Italy) with maps of impact parameters
Pierfrancesco Dellino, Fabio Dioguardi, Roberto Sulpizio, and Daniela Mele
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2823–2844, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
BN-FLEMOΔ: a Bayesian-network-based flood loss estimation model for adaptation planning in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Nivedita Sairam, Lukas Schoppa, Le Thanh Sang, Do Ly Hoai Tan, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2845–2861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
Assessing the ability of the ECMWF seasonal prediction model to forecast extreme September-to-November rainfall events over Equatorial Africa
Hermann N. Nana, Roméo S. Tanessong, Masilin Gudoshava, and Derbetini A. Vondou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Aug 2025
Investigation of an extreme rainfall event during 8–12 December 2018 over central Vietnam – Part 2: An evaluation of predictability using a time-lagged cloud-resolving ensemble system​​​​​​​
Chung-Chieh Wang, Duc Van Nguyen, Thang Van Vu, Pham Thi Thanh Nga, Pi-Yu Chuang, and Kien Ba Truong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2803–2822, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025, 2025
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22 Aug 2025
Recovery under consecutive disasters: how recovery dynamics shape societal resilience
Sophie L. Buijs, Inga J. Sauer, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Juhel, Zélie Stalhandske, and Marleen C. De Ruiter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Aug 2025
First 2D record of a tsunami by SWOT satellite: observation data and preliminary numerical simulation of the 19 May 2023 tsunami near the Loyalty Islands
Jean H. M. Roger, Yannice Faugère, Hélène Hébert, Antoine Delepoulle, and Gérald Dibarboure
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why?
Till Francke and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2783–2802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
18 Aug 2025
What can we learn about multi-hazard impacts from global disaster records?
Wiebke S. Jäger, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Timothy Tiggeloven, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2751–2769, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Seismic signal characterization of snow avalanches using distributed acoustic sensing in Grasdalen, western Norway
Franz Kleine, Charlotte Bruland, Andreas Wuestefeld, Volker Oye, and Martin Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2771–2782, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Brief communication – Vent opening at Campi Flegrei: clues from dyke propagation patterns
Jacopo Selva and Nello Mangone
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Aug 2025
Cities near volcanoes: which cities are most exposed to volcanic hazards?
Elinor S. Meredith, Rui Xue Natalie Teng, Susanna F. Jenkins, Josh L. Hayes, Sébastien Biass, and Heather Handley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2731–2749, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Large-scale assessment of rainfall-induced landslide hazard based on hydrometeorological information: application to Partenio Massif (Italy)
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Pasquale Marino, Abdullah Abdullah, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, and Roberto Greco
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2679–2698, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Transformations in exposure to debris flows in post-earthquake Sichuan, China
Isabelle Utley, Tristram Hales, Ekbal Hussain, and Xuanmei Fan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2699–2716, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Modeling regional production capacity loss rates considering response bias: insights from a questionnaire survey on the Zhengzhou flood
Lijiao Yang, Yan Luo, Zilong Li, and Xinyu Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2717–2730, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Community-Scale Assessment of Flood-Related Public Health Vulnerability Using Multi-Criteria AHP in Northwestern Bangladesh
Nafisa Nuari Islam, Tonoy Mahmud, Shamima Ferdousi Sifa, Md. Asif Rafsan, A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, Md. Shakhawat Hossain, and Md. Zillur Rahman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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13 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Warnings based on risk matrices: a coherent framework with consistent evaluation
Robert J. Taggart and David J. Wilke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2657–2677, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
11 Aug 2025
What controls fire size in the South American Gran Chaco? Exploring atmospheric, landscape, and anthropogenic drivers
Rodrigo San Martin, Catherine Ottlé, Anna Sorenssön, Pradeebane Vattinada Ayar, Florent Mouillot, and Marielle Malfante
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Aug 2025
From typhoon rainfall to slope failure: optimizing susceptibility models and dynamic thresholds for landslide warnings in Zixing City, China
Weifeng Xiao, Guangchong Yao, Zhenghui Xiao, Luguang Luo, Yunjiang Cao, and Wei Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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08 Aug 2025
A shifting pattern of tropical cyclone induced high river discharges in the Greater Mekong Region, 1970–2019
Stephen E. Darby, Ivan D. Haigh, Melissa Wood, Bui Duong, Tien Le Thuy Du, Thao Phuong Bui, Justin Sheffield, Hal Voepel, and Joël J.-M. Hirschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Invited perspectives: Thunderstorm intensification from mountains to plains
Jannick Fischer, Pieter Groenemeijer, Alois Holzer, Monika Feldmann, Katharina Schröer, Francesco Battaglioli, Lisa Schielicke, Tomáš Púčik, Bogdan Antonescu, Christoph Gatzen, and TIM Partners
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2629–2656, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2629-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2629-2025, 2025
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05 Aug 2025
Is considering (in)consistency between runs so useless for weather forecasting?
Hugo Marchal, François Bouttier, and Olivier Nuissier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2613–2628, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025, 2025
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05 Aug 2025
Event-based analysis of extreme precipitation trends in Italy using hourly convection-permitting reanalyses
Francesco Cavalleri, Cristian Lussana, Francesca Viterbo, Michele Brunetti, Riccardo Bonanno, Veronica Manara, Matteo Lacavalla, and Maurizio Maugeri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3455,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3455, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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04 Aug 2025
Review article: The growth in compound weather and climate event research in the decade since SREX
Lou Brett, Christopher J. White, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Bart van den Hurk, Philip Ward, and Jakob Zscheischler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2591–2611, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2591-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2591-2025, 2025
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04 Aug 2025
On the intensity and destructive potential of a past extreme, synoptic storm in a future warmer climate
Johanne Kristine Haandbæk Øelund, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Rune Magnus Koktvedgaard Zeitzen, Henrik Vedel, and Henrik Feddersen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3173,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3173, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Aug 2025
Invited perspectives: Advancing knowledge co-creation in drought impact studies
Silvia De Angeli, Lorenzo Villani, Giulio Castelli, Maria Rusca, Giorgio Boni, Elena Bresci, and Luigi Piemontese
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2571–2589, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2571-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2571-2025, 2025
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29 Jul 2025
Preface: Hydro-meteorological extremes and hazards: vulnerability, risk, impacts, and mitigation
Francesco Marra, Nadav Peleg, Elena Cristiano, Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Federica Remondi, and Paolo Tarolli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2565–2570, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2565-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2565-2025, 2025
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28 Jul 2025
Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices
Claudia Teutschbein, Thomas Grabs, Markus Giese, Andrijana Todorović, and Roland Barthel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2541–2564, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025, 2025
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28 Jul 2025
Is higher resolution always better? A comparison of open-access DEMs for optimized slope unit delineation and regional landslide prediction
Mahnoor Ahmed, Giacomo Titti, Sebastiano Trevisani, Lisa Borgatti, and Mirko Francioni
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2519–2539, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2519-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2519-2025, 2025
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25 Jul 2025
Exploring the interplay between observed warming, atmospheric circulation, and soil–atmosphere feedbacks on heatwaves in a temperate mountain region
Marc Lemus-Canovas, Sergi Gonzalez-Herrero, Laura Trapero, Anna Albalat, Damian Insua-Costa, Martin Senande-Rivera, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2503–2518, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2503-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2503-2025, 2025
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24 Jul 2025
How does perceived heat stress differ between urban forms and human vulnerability profiles? Case study Berlin
Nimra Iqbal, Marvin Ravan, Zina Mitraka, Joern Birkmann, Sue Grimmond, Denise Hertwig, Nektarios Chrysoulakis, Giorgos Somarakis, Angela Wendnagel-Beck, and Emmanouil Panagiotakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2481–2502, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2481-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2481-2025, 2025
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24 Jul 2025
Simulating multivariate hazards with generative deep learning
Alison Peard, Yu Mo, and Jim W. Hall
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3217,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3217, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Jul 2025
Investigating metamodeling capability to predict sea levels and marine flooding maps for early-warning systems: application on the Arcachon Lagoon (France)
Sophie Lecacheux, Jeremy Rohmer, Eva Membrado, Rodrigo Pedreros, Andrea Filippini, Déborah Idier, Servane Gueben-Vénière, Denis Paradis, Alice Dalphinet, and David Ayache
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3615,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3615, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jul 2025
Brief communication: Hydrological and hydraulic investigation of the extreme September 2024 flood on the Lamone River in Emilia-Romagna, Italy
Alessia Ferrari, Giulia Passadore, Renato Vacondio, Luca Carniello, Mattia Pivato, Elena Crestani, Francesco Carraro, Francesca Aureli, Sara Carta, Francesca Stumpo, and Paolo Mignosa
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2473–2479, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2473-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2473-2025, 2025
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23 Jul 2025
Predicting thunderstorm risk probability at very short time range using deep learning
Mélanie Bosc, Adrien Chan-Hon-Tong, Aurélie Bouchard, and Dominique Béréziat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2893,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2893, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jul 2025
Identification of rainfall thresholds for debris-flow occurrence through field monitoring data
Elena Ioriatti, Mauro Reguzzoni, Edoardo Reguzzoni, Andreas Schimmel, Luca Beretta, Massimo Ceriani, and Matteo Berti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3478,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3478, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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22 Jul 2025
Modelling flood losses of micro-businesses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Anna Buch, Dominik Paprotny, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, and Nivedita Sairam
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2437–2453, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2437-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2437-2025, 2025
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22 Jul 2025
Automated rapid estimation of flood depth using a digital elevation model and Earth Observation Satellite (EOS-04)-derived flood inundation
Lakshmi Amani Chimata, Suresh Babu Anuvala Setty Venkata, Shashi Vardhan Reddy Patlolla, Durga Rao Korada Hari Venkata, Sreenivas Kandrika, and Prakash Chauhan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2455–2472, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2455-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2455-2025, 2025
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22 Jul 2025
Spatial Shift and Intensification of Compound Drought and Heatwaves (CDHW) towards Southern and Eastern Tropical Regions over India
Debankana Bhattacharjee and Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1886,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1886, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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22 Jul 2025
A Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)-based Synthetic Event Set of U.S. Tornado Outbreaks
Kelsey Malloy and Michael K. Tippett
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3145,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3145, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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22 Jul 2025
Developing a Coastal Hazard Prediction System in Ice-Infested Waters, Part 1: High-Resolution Regional Wave Modeling in The Estuary and Gulf of St. Lawrence
Jeremy Baudry, Dany Dumont, David Didier, Pascal Bernatchez, and Sebastien Dugas
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2168,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2168, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Jul 2025
Simulation of cold-powder snow avalanches considering daily snowpack and weather situations
Julia Glaus, Katreen Wikstrom Jones, Perry Bartelt, Marc Christen, Lukas Stoffel, Johan Gaume, and Yves Bühler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2399–2419, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2399-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2399-2025, 2025
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21 Jul 2025
An automated approach for developing geohazard inventories using news: integrating natural language processing (NLP), machine learning, and mapping
Aydoğan Avcıoğlu, Ogün Demir, and Tolga Görüm
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2421–2435, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2421-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2421-2025, 2025
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21 Jul 2025
Coseismic Surface Rupture Probabilities from Earthquake Cycle Simulations: Influence of Fault Geometry
Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, José A. Álvarez-Gómez, Bruno Pace, and Julián García-Mayordomo
External preprint server, https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174973163.39901434/v2,https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174973163.39901434/v2, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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21 Jul 2025
The EAWS matrix, a look-up table to determine the regional avalanche danger level (Part B): Operational testing and use
Frank Techel, Karsten Müller, Christopher Marquardt, and Christoph Mitterer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3349,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3349, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Jul 2025
Assessing extreme total water levels across Europe for large-scale coastal flood analysis
Camila Cotrim, Alexandra Toimil, Iñigo Losada, Melisa Menéndez, and Hector Lobeto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2998,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2998, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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