Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
15 Dec 2025
Understanding the atmospheric lightning risk over Odisha, an east coastal state in India
Nambi Manavalan Rajan, Alok Taori, Degala Venkatesh, Matam Mallikarjun, Sameer Saran, Goru Srinivasa Rao, and Prakash Chauhan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5269,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5269, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Dec 2025
Identification of rainfall thresholds for debris-flow occurrence through field monitoring data
Elena Ioriatti, Mauro Reguzzoni, Edoardo Reguzzoni, Andreas Schimmel, Luca Beretta, Massimo Ceriani, and Matteo Berti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4941–4959, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4941-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4941-2025, 2025
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12 Dec 2025
Multi-coupling analysis of temperate glacier stability: A case study of Midui glacier on Tibet, China
Guang Li, Minggao Tang, Huanle Zhao, Daojing Guo, Xiaonan Yang, and Xu Ran
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3648,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3648, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on annual spatio-temporal lightning clusters in western and central Europe
Markus Augenstein, Susanna Mohr, and Michael Kunz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4921–4939, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4921-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4921-2025, 2025
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11 Dec 2025
Assessment of seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field
Sander Osinga, Olwijn Leeuwenburgh, Bouko Vogelaar, Santiago Pena Clavijo, and Simona Bottero
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6007,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6007, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Modeling tsunami and seismic waveforms from regional earthquakes to inform system design and data integration for the Tamtam SMART subsea cable
Kwok Fai Cheung, Yoshiki Yamazaki, Thorne Lay, Matthew J. Fouch, John Niroa, and Bruce M. Howe
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5825,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5825, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Droughts in South East Europe (SEE): current picture, tendencies and impact
Maria Kireeva, Mirjana Radulović, Gordan Mimić, Marthe Wens, and Tijana Nikolić-Lugonja
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5881,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5881, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Integrating flood-induced population movements into future flood damage estimates in Japan
Hayata Yanagihara, So Kazama, Kei Gomi, Yusuke Hiraga, and Atsuya Ikemoto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5949,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5949, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Dec 2025
| Highlight paper
Constitution of a multicentennial multirisk database in a mountainous environment from composite sources: the example of the Vallouise-Pelvoux municipality (Ecrins, France)
Louise Dallons Thanneur, Florie Giacona, Nicolas Eckert, and Philippe Frey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4881–4906, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4881-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4881-2025, 2025
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10 Dec 2025
Use of delayed ERA5-Land soil moisture products for improving landslide early warning
Nunziarita Palazzolo, Antonino Cancelliere, Robert D. Zofei, and David J. Peres
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4907–4919, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4907-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4907-2025, 2025
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10 Dec 2025
Revealing the structure of precipitation extremes: a spatio-temporal wavelet approach
Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Dec 2025
Deep learning-based object detection on LiDAR-derived hillshade images: insights into grain size distribution and longitudinal sorting of debris flows
Paul E. Schmid, Jacob Hirschberg, Raffaele Spielmann, and Jordan Aaron
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4863–4880, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4863-2025, 2025
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09 Dec 2025
AI based seasonal large ensembles for fluvial flood risk: Evaluation over the Elbe basin
John Ashcroft, Alison Poulston, Marius Koch, Georg Ertl, Kirsty Brown, James Butler, Anthony Hammond, Owen Jordan, Sarah Warren, Rob Lamb, Paul J. Young, and David Wood
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5841,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5841, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Dec 2025
Controls over debris flow initiation in glacio-volcanic environments in the Southern Andes
Ivo Fustos-Toribio, Daniel Basualto, Ardy Gatica, Alvaro Bravo-Alarcón, José-Luis Palma, Gabriel Fuentealba, and Sergio A. Sepúlveda
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4843–4861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4843-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4843-2025, 2025
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05 Dec 2025
Marine heatwave amplifies extreme multi-hazards of extratropical cyclone Babet
Piyali Goswami, Ségolène Berthou, Theodore G. Shepherd, Ambrogio Volonté, Sana Mahmood, Juan Manuel Castillo, Anne-Christine Péquignet, Yong-June Park, Mark Worsfold, Regina Rodrigues, and Magdalena A. Balmaseda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5662,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5662, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Brief communication: How extreme was the thunderstorm rain in Vienna on 17 August 2024? A temporal and spatial analysis
Vinzent Klaus, Johannes Laimighofer, and Fabian Lehner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4807–4814, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4807-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4807-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
Quantifying cascading impacts through road network analysis in an insular volcanic setting: the 2021 Tajogaite eruption of La Palma Island (Spain)
Lucia Dominguez, Sébastien Biass, Corine Frischknecht, Alana Weir, María-Paz Reyes-Hardy, Luigia Sara Di Maio, Nemesio Pérez, and Costanza Bonadonna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4815–4841, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4815-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4815-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
Managing glacial and periglacial hazards in the Alps: a geohistorical approach
Juliette Bazin, Ludovic Ravanel, and Sandrine Caroly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5614,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5614, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Dec 2025
Morphological Response of Vegetated and Urbanized Barrier Islands to Hurricane Ian
Muhammad Hassan Ilyas, Ap van Dongeren, Dano Roelvink, Ellen Quataert, and Christopher Daly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5443,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5443, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
A single framework to assess flash flood and landslide susceptibility: an application to the Mediterranean
Alessia Riveros, Chamidu Gunaratne, Mario Martinelli, and Frederiek C. Sperna Weiland
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5572,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5572, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Dependence of Seismic Hazard Assessment on the Observation Time Interval: Insights from a Synthetic Earthquake Catalogue in Southeastern Spain
Elena Pascual-Sánchez, José Antonio Álvarez-Gómez, Julián García-Mayordomo, and Paula Herrero-Barbero
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4870,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4870, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Climate change may increase landslide frequency despite generally drier conditions in the Mediterranean area
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Ruud van der Ent, Thom Bogaard, and Roberto Greco
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5826,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5826, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Temporal models for the occurrence of Etna eruptions and implications for hazard assessment
Laura Sandri, Alexander Garcia, Simona Scollo, Luigi Mereu, and Michele Prestifilippo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5875,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5875, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Changes in the frequency and intensity of concurrent extreme wind speed and precipitation days over China during 1981–2022
Kangmin Wen and Jun Shi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5893,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5893, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Dec 2025
Rapid Landslide Mapping During the 2023 Emilia-Romagna Disaster: Assessing Automated Approaches with Limited Training Data
Nicola Dal Seno, Giuseppe Ciccarese, Davide Evangelista, Elena Loli Piccolomini, Alessandro Corsini, and Matteo Berti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4267,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4267, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Dec 2025
Seismic and Tsunami Hazard Potential of the Negros–Sulu Megathrust, Philippines
Lyndon P. Nawanao Jr., Noelynna T. Ramos, Toshitaka Baba, Naotaka Chikasada, and Kenji Satake
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4837,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4837, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Dec 2025
Effective storm surge risk assessment and deep reinforcement learning based evacuation planning: a case study of Daya Bay Petrochemical Industrial Zone
Chuanfeng Liu, Yan Li, Hao Qin, Wenjuan Li, Lin Mu, Si Wang, Darong Liu, and Kai Zhou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4767–4786, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4767-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4767-2025, 2025
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01 Dec 2025
Using network science to evaluate landslide hazards on Big Sur Coast, California, USA
Vrinda D. Desai, Alexander L. Handwerger, and Karen E. Daniels
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4755–4766, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4755-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4755-2025, 2025
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01 Dec 2025
Shrinking lakes, growing concerns: exploring perceptions of lake level decline as a prism for understanding socionatural hazards
Thomas Vogelpohl, Desirée Hetzel, Daniel Johnson, Lena Masch, Jesko Hirschfeld, Thorsten Faas, Peter H. Feindt, and Jörg Niewöhner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4731–4753, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4731-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4731-2025, 2025
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01 Dec 2025
Mapping forest-covered landslides using Geographic Object-Based Image Analysis (GEOBIA), Jena region, Germany
Ikram Zangana, Rainer Bell, Lucian Drăguţ, Flavius Sîrbu, and Lothar Schrott
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4787–4806, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4787-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4787-2025, 2025
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01 Dec 2025
Runout mechanism of landslides in alluvial basins with emphasis on the impact and erosion effects
Ye Chen, Fawu Wang, Maximillian Van Wyk De Vries, Weichao Liu, Bo Zhang, and Changbao Guo
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.176279988.86189981/v1,https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.176279988.86189981/v1, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Nov 2025
Assessing human-caused wildfire ignition likelihood across Europe
Pere Joan Gelabert, Adrián Jiménez-Ruano, Clara Ochoa, Fermín Alcasena, Johan Sjöström, Christopher Marrs, Luís Mário Ribeiro, Palaiologos Palaiologou, Carmen Bentué Martínez, Emilio Chuvieco, Cristina Vega-García, and Marcos Rodrigues
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4713–4729, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4713-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4713-2025, 2025
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27 Nov 2025
Multi-hazards in Scandinavia: impacts and risks from compound heatwaves, droughts and wildfires
Gwendoline Ducros, Timothy Tiggeloven, Lin Ma, Anne Sophie Daloz, Nina Schuhen, Judith Claassen, and Marleen C. de Ruiter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4693–4712, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4693-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4693-2025, 2025
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26 Nov 2025
Extreme precipitation and flooding in Berlin under climate change and effects of selected grey and blue-green measures
Franziska Tügel, Katrin M. Nissen, Lennart Steffen, Yangwei Zhang, Uwe Ulbrich, and Reinhard Hinkelmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4673–4692, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4673-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4673-2025, 2025
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25 Nov 2025
Scaling and exceedance probability of sinkhole collapse in evaporite karst (Dead Sea, Jordan)
Hanna Z. Schulten, Robert A. Watson, Djamil Al-Halbouni, and Eoghan P. Holohan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5280,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5280, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Nov 2025
Culvert Blockages in 2D-Hydrodynamic Flood Modeling: Quantifying the Impact on Flood Dynamics and Designing Mitigation Strategies
Leon Frederik De Vos, Karan Mahajan, Daniel Caviedes-Voullième, and Nils Rüther
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5228,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5228, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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25 Nov 2025
Hazard Potential of Compound Flooding from Rainfall, Storm Surge, and Groundwater in Coastal New York and Connecticut
Robin Glas, Liv Herdman, Salme Cook, Archi Howlader, and Kristina Masterson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5683,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5683, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Nov 2025
Equatorial storm surge risks revealed by the 2001 tropical cyclone Vamei
Masashi Watanabe, Adam D. Switzer, Erandani Lakshani Widana Arachchige, Constance Ting Chua, Jun Yu Puah, Elaine Tan, Timothy A. Shaw, and David Lallemant
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5703,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5703, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Nov 2025
Review article: Multi-Hazards and Household Preparedness Planning: Evidence, Gaps and Opportunities
Molly Gilmour, Peter McGowran, Joel Gill, and Faith Taylor
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5704,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5704, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Nov 2025
Regional-scale groundwater analysis with dimensionality reduction
Márk Somogyvári, Fabio Brill, Mikhail Tsypin, Lisa Rihm, and Tobias Krueger
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4613–4628, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4613-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4613-2025, 2025
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24 Nov 2025
Ensemble random forest for tropical cyclone tracking
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Stella Bourdin, Davide Faranda, and Mathieu Vrac
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4655–4672, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4655-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4655-2025, 2025
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24 Nov 2025
Decoupling urban and non-urban landslides for susceptibility mapping in transitional landscapes: a case study from Southwestern Constantine, Algeria
Zakaria Matougui, Yacine Mohamed Daksi, Mehdi Dib, and Chaouki Benabbas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4629–4653, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4629-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4629-2025, 2025
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24 Nov 2025
Invited perspectives: Reframing Transboundary Flood Vulnerability Through Hydrosocial Systems Thinking: Towards Just and Adaptive Governance
Tahmina Yasmin, Rose Cook, Xilin Xia, and David M. Hannah
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4546,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4546, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Nov 2025
Drivers of Flash Flood Frequency and Intensity in the United States: A Quantitative Analysis of Hydrometeorological Interactions
Ying Hu, Huan Wu, Yiwen Mei, Zhijun Huang, Aihui Wang, Chaoqun Li, and Bing Sui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5032,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5032, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Nov 2025
The multi-decadal hazard cascade of a tropical mountain wildfire
William Veness, Martha Day, Anthony C. Ross, Yazidhi Bamutaze, Jiayuan Han, Douglas Mulangwa, Andrew Mwesigwa, Emmanuel Ntale, Callist Tindimugaya, Brian Guma, Elisabeth Stephens, and Wouter Buytaert
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5106,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5106, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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24 Nov 2025
A fault-based application to model seismicity rates for seismic hazard assessment in the southern Apennines (Italy)
Giulia Alessandrini, Octavi Gómez-Novell, Silvia Castellaro, Michela Giustiniani, and Umberta Tinivella
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4886,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4886, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Nov 2025
Fault-Controlled Distribution of Pre-seismic Thermal Anomalies: Insights from the Dingri Earthquakes, Tibet
Wanyi Li, Dan Tao, Jiufeng Wang, Xiang Wei, Qianxi Zhang, Yinqian Li, Sirui Li, Huaxiang Qin, and Qifeng Jiang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5460, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Nov 2025
Computing extreme storm surges in Europe using neural networks
Tim H. J. Hermans, Chiheb Ben Hammouda, Simon Treu, Timothy Tiggeloven, Anaïs Couasnon, Julius J. M. Busecke, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4593–4612, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4593-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4593-2025, 2025
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21 Nov 2025
A new framework for the assessment of potential future disasters caused by typhoons using multi-model ensemble experiments
Kenshi Hibino, Izuru Takayabu, Hiroaki Kawase, Munehiko Yamaguchi, Yukiko Imada, Tetsuya Takemi, Nobuhito Mori, Takuya Miyashita, Sachie Kanada, Takahiro Sayama, Tomohiro Tanaka, Tsuyoshi Inoue, Yoshiaki Tanaka, Ryota Arai, Satoshi Godo, Masataka Murase, Shunsuke Sakuragi, and Toshiyuki Nakaegawa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4772,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4772, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Nov 2025
Flood hazard mapping and disaster prevention recommendations based on detailed topographical analysis in Khovd City, Western Mongolia
Serdyanjiv Narangerel, Yasuhiro Suzuki, Tomonori Hasegawa, and Yoshiyuki Takaichi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4563–4576, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4563-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4563-2025, 2025
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18 Nov 2025
Drought hazard assessment across Sweden's diverse hydro-climatic regimes
Claudia Canedo Rosso, Lars Nyberg, and Ilias Pechlivanidis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4577–4592, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4577-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4577-2025, 2025
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18 Nov 2025
Storm surge dynamics in the northern Adriatic Sea: comparing AI emulators with high-resolution numerical simulations
Rodrigo Campos-Caba, Paula Camus, Andrea Mazzino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Massimo Tondello, Ivan Federico, Salvatore Causio, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5313,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5313, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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17 Nov 2025
Automated tail-informed threshold selection for extreme coastal sea levels
Thomas P. Collings, Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop, Conor Murphy, Ivan D. Haigh, Paul D. Bates, and Niall D. Quinn
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4545–4562, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025, 2025
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14 Nov 2025
Tsunami-Sediment Interactions Amplify Coastal Hazard and Reshape Inundation Dynamics in Tumaco Bay, Colombia
Ronald E. Sanchez Escobar, Juan Jose Ferrer, Erick R. Velasco-Reyes, and Erick Mas
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4986,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4986, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Nov 2025
Tracing Emotional Evolution along Named Entity Topic Chains: A Mechanistic Study of Chinese Social Media in the 2025 Myanmar Earthquake
Changqi Dong, Kaihang Zhang, and Jida Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4507,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4507, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Nov 2025
The EAWS matrix, a decision support tool to determine the regional avalanche danger level (Part A): conceptual development
Karsten Müller, Frank Techel, and Christoph Mitterer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4503–4525, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4503-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4503-2025, 2025
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13 Nov 2025
Assessing atoll island future habitability in the context of climate change using Bayesian networks
Mirna Badillo-Interiano, Jérémy Rohmer, Gonéri Le Cozannet, and Virginie Duvat
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4527–4543, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4527-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4527-2025, 2025
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13 Nov 2025
Monitoring the displacement of large alpine rock slope instabilities with L-band SAR interferometric techniques
Tazio Strozzi, Nina Jones, Federico Agliardi, Alessandro De Pedrini, Othmar Frey, Philipp Bernhard, Rafael Caduff, Christian Ambrosi, and Andrea Manconi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5347,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5347, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Nov 2025
Building-level exposed asset value modelling for Germany
Aaron Buhrmann, Cecilia I. Nievas, Nivedita Sairam, James E. Daniell, Heidi Kreibich, and Seth Bryant
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5172,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5172, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
The 2022 drought needs to be a turning point for European drought risk management
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Monica Ionita, Raffaele Vignola, Samuel J. Sutanto, Andrijana Todorovic, Claudia Teutschbein, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Pedro Alencar, Alessia Matanó, Elena Ridolfi, Benedetta Moccia, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Anne van Loon, Doris E. Wendt, Elin Stenfors, Fabio Russo, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Lucy Barker, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Marleen Lam, Monika Bláhová, Patricia Trambauer, Raed Hamed, Scott J. McGrane, Serena Ceola, Sigrid J. Bakke, Svitlana Krakovska, Viorica Nagavciuc, Faranak Tootoonchi, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Sandra Hauswirth, Shreedhar Maskey, Svitlana Zubkovych, Marthe Wens, and Lena M. Tallaksen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4475–4501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4475-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4475-2025, 2025
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12 Nov 2025
Community-driven natural hazard and physical vulnerability assessment in a disaster-prone urban neighborhood
Alejandro Builes-Jaramillo, Annie E. G. Winson, Emma Bee, Nancy Quirós, Dairo Urán, James Rúa, Luis Alejandro Rivera-Flórez, Camilo Restrepo-Estrada, Ingry Natalia Gómez-Miranda, Claire Dashwood, and João Porto de Albuquerque
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4451–4473, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4451-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4451-2025, 2025
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12 Nov 2025
Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Kai Kornuber, Emanuele Bevacqua, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Wiebke S. Jäger, Pauline Rivoire, Cassandra D. W. Rogers, Fabiola Banfi, Fulden Batibeniz, James Carruthers, Carlo de Michele, Silvia de Angeli, Cristina Deidda, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Andreas H. Fink, Henrique M. D. Goulart, Katharina Küpfer, Patrick Ludwig, Douglas Maraun, Gabriele Messori, Shruti Nath, Fiachra O’Loughlin, Joaquim G. Pinto, Benjamin Poschlod, Alexandre M. Ramos, Colin Raymond, Andreia F. S. Ribeiro, Deepti Singh, Laura Suarez Gutierrez, Philip J. Ward, and Christopher J. White
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4683,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4683, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Predicting spatio-temporal wildfire propagation with dynamic firebreaks
Jiahe Zheng, Zhengsen Xu, Rossella Arcucci, Sandy P. Harrison, Lincoln Linlin Xu, and Sibo Cheng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4007,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4007, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Buried and displaced: moving characteristics of building fragments in debris flows
Lei Feng and Dongri Song
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5236,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5236, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Hybrid forest disturbance classification using Sentinel-1 and inventory data: a case-study for Southeastern USA
Franziska Müller, Laura Eifler, Felix Cremer, Pieter Beck, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Ana Bastos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4880,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4880, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Attribution of the impact of the February 2018 sudden stratospheric warming on mortality in the Nordics and United Kingdom
Philip Rupp, Liliana Vázquez Fernández, William J. M. Seviour, and Thomas Birner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4587,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4587, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Nov 2025
Assessment of current and future heat in a large hospital complex based on continuous indoor measurements and climate simulations
Katharina Epp, Markus Sulzer, Daniel Steinmann, Matthias Zeeman, Andreas Matzarakis, and Andreas Christen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3871,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3871, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Beyond the 100-Year Flood: Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment for King and Pierce Counties under Future Climate Scenarios
Kees Nederhoff, Kai Parker, and Eric Grossman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4909,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4909, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
From Worst-Case Scenarios to Extreme Value Statistics: Local Counterfactuals in Flood Frequency Analysis
Paul Voit, Felix Fauer, and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4951,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4951, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Combining hazard, exposure and vulnerability data to predict historical North Atlantic hurricane damage
Alexander F. Vessey, Alexander J. Baker, Vernie Marcellin-Honore, and James Michelin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5161,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5161, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Nov 2025
Tracing the evolving actor network: a social network analysis of the 2018 Mayotte crisis in the press
Louise Le Vagueresse, Marion Le Texier, and Maud Helene Devès
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4423–4450, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4423-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4423-2025, 2025
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10 Nov 2025
Shaping shallow landslide susceptibility as a function of rainfall events
Micol Fumagalli, Alberto Previati, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni B. Crosta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4405–4422, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4405-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4405-2025, 2025
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10 Nov 2025
Indirect costs of floods: a case study of highways road users
Manuel Contreras-Jara, Tomás Echaveguren, Eduardo Allen, Alondra Chamorro, and José Vargas-Baecheler
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4016,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4016, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Nov 2025
Composition, frequency and magnitude of future rain-on-snow floods in Germany
Christian Czakay, Larisa Tarasova, and Bodo Ahrens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3532,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3532, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Nov 2025
Evaluating the effects of preprocessing, method selection, and hyperparameter tuning on SAR-based flood mapping and water depth estimation
Jean-Paul Travert, Cédric Goeury, Sébastien Boyaval, Vito Bacchi, and Fabrice Zaoui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3726,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3726, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Multi-level assessment of flood risk perception and flood behaviour
Rocío Coloma, Vicente Saenger, Felipe Link, and Oscar Link
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4496,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4496, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Climate and impact attribution of compound flooding induced by tropical cyclone Idai in Mozambique
Doris M. Vertegaal, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk, Anaïs Couasnon, Natalia Aleksandrova, Tycho Bovenschen, Fernaldi Gradiyanto, Tim W. B. Leijnse, Henrique M. D. Goulart, and Sanne Muis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4502,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4502, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
An ensemble groundwater prediction (EGP) system to forecast groundwater levels in alluvial aquifers in Switzerland
Raoul A. Collenteur, Konrad Bogner, Massimiliano Zappa, Mario Schirmer, and Christian Moeck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4653,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4653, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Unveiling the Link Between Extreme Precipitation Events and Flood Disasters in China: From 3D Perspective
Jie Wang, Sixuan Li, Xiaodan Guan, Yongli He, Chenyu Cao, Lulu Lian, and Lihui Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4728,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4728, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
A Fluvial Flood Risk Model for Quantifying the Benefit of Mitigation Measures under Uncertainty
Mara Ruf, Amelie Hoffmann, and Daniel Straub
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4875,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4875, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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07 Nov 2025
Machine learning for automated avalanche terrain exposure scale (ATES) classification
Kalin Markov, Andreas Huber, Momchil Panayotov, Christoph Hesselbach, Paula Spannring, Jan-Thomas Fischer, and Michaela Teich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4375–4403, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4375-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4375-2025, 2025
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07 Nov 2025
Integrating Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) for Enhanced Flood Resilience under a Changing Climate: The Case of the Cologne District, Germany
Udo Nehren, Ali Cara Barrett, Paola Saenz Quiros, and Alexander Fekete
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4888,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4888, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Nov 2025
Human Decision-Making in Crowds in a Virtual Flood Scenario
Booloot Arshaghi, Glyn Lawson, Riccardo Briganti, and Peer-Olaf Siebers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5312,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5312, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Nov 2025
A thorough review of the May 5, 1990 earthquake (southern Italy): constraints from macroseismology and insights from hydrology
Andrea Antonucci, Corrado Castellano, Luigi Cucci, and Andrea Tertulliani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5343,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5343, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 Nov 2025
Identification of nighttime urban flood inundation extent using deep learning
Jiaquan Wan, Xing Wang, Yannian Cheng, Cuiyan Zhang, Fengchang Xue, Tao Yang, Fei Tong, and Quan J. Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4361–4373, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4361-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4361-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Reevaluating flood protection: disaster risk reduction for urbanized alluvial fans
Tamir Grodek and Gerardo Benito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4343–4360, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4343-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
INSYDE-content: a synthetic, multi-variable flood damage model for household contents
Pradeep Acharya, Mario Di Bacco, Daniela Molinari, and Anna Rita Scorzini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4317–4330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4317-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4317-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Indonesia tornado database: tornado climatology of Indonesia
Irfans Maulana Firdaus, Takeshi Yamazaki, Muhammad Rais Abdillah, and Edi Riawan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4331–4341, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4331-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4331-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Hydrological drought prediction and its influencing features analysis based on a machine learning model
Min Li, Yuhang Yao, Zilong Feng, and Ming Ou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4299–4316, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4299-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4299-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Assessing effects of nature-based and other municipal adaptation measures on insured heavy rain damages
Vylon Ooms, Thijs Endendijk, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, W. J. Wouter Botzen, and Peter J. Robinson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4283–4298, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4283-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4283-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Pan-European assessment of coastal flood hazards
Camila Cotrim, Alexandra Toimil, Iñigo J. Losada, Sara Novo, and Iria Suárez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4892,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4892, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Nov 2025
Towards an operational European Drought Impacts Database (EDID)
Kerstin Stahl, Kathrin Szillat, Veit Blauhut, Monika Hlavsova, Lauro Rossi, Dario Masante, and Andrea Toreti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4806,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4806, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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03 Nov 2025
Exposure of Settlements to Wildfires in a Transboundary Wildland-Urban-Interface Region in Central Europe
Evripidis Avouris, Christopher Marrs, Kristina Beetz, Lucie Kudláčková, Markéta Poděbradská, Miroslav Trnka, and Matthias Forkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4859,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4859, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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31 Oct 2025
Review article: Towards multi-hazard and multi-risk indicators – a review and recommendations for development and implementation
Christopher J. White, Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Marcello Arosio, Stephanie Buller, YoungHwa Cha, Roxana Ciurean, Julia M. Crummy, Melanie Duncan, Joel Gill, Claire Kennedy, Elisa Nobile, Lara Smale, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4263–4281, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Kinetic characteristics investigation of the Yingxingping rockslide based on discrete element method combined with discrete fracture network
Bo Liu, Yufang Zhang, Xiewen Hu, Jian Li, Kun Yuan, Kun He, Jian Cui, and Zhenhua Yin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4247–4262, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Brief communication: 'Multi-hazard-to-health-outcome' (MH2O) pathways: the known, the unknown, and ten most urgent priorities.
Harriet Moore, Qiuhua Liang, Lee Bosher, John Atanbori, Mark Gussy, Amogh Madbhatkal, Joe Swift, Jaspreet Phull, Kirsten Guy, Lynsey Collinson, Andy Penny, Maria Athanassiadou, Kaja Milczewska, Ebenezer Amankwaa, Lucy Kennedy, Edward Hanna, Gregory Sutton, Bartholomew Hill, and Colin Hopkirk
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Oct 2025
Assessment of coastal inundation triggered by multiple drivers in Ca Mau Peninsula, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen, Quan Quan Le, Viet Dung Nguyen, Hai Dac Do, Hung Duc Pham, Tan Hong Cao, Toan Quang To, Melissa Wood, and Ivan D. Haigh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4227–4246, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025, 2025
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29 Oct 2025
Wikimpacts 1.0: A new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Ni Li, Wim Thiery, Shorouq Zahra, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Koffi Worou, Murathan Kurfalı, Seppe Lampe, Paul Muñoz, Clare Flynn, Camila Trigoso, Joakim Nivre, Jakob Zscheischler, and Gabriele Messori
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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28 Oct 2025
Particle and front tracking in experimental and computational avalanche dynamics
Michael Neuhauser, Anselm Köhler, Anna Wirbel, Felix Oesterle, Wolfgang Fellin, Johannes Gerstmayr, Falko Dressler, and Jan-Thomas Fischer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4185–4202, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025, 2025
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28 Oct 2025
Understanding extreme-wave hazards on high-energy coasts requires a standardised approach to field data collection: analysis and recommendations
Rónadh Cox, Mary C. Bourke, Max Engel, Andrew B. Kennedy, Annie Lau, Serge Suanez, Sarah J. Boulton, Maria Alexandra Oliveira, Raphaël Paris, Dimitra Salmanidou, Michaela Spiske, Wayne Stephenson, Storm Roberts, Adam D. Switzer, Nadia Mhammdi, Niamh D. Cullen, and Masashi Watanabe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4203–4226, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025, 2025
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