Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5609-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5609-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
Research article
 | 
05 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 05 Nov 2026

Composition, frequency, and severity of future rain-on-snow floods in Germany

Christian Czakay, Larisa Tarasova, and Bodo Ahrens

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Short summary
In this study, we simulated streamflow in German river catchments for climate projections using a deep learning model. Flood-generating processes were identified using explainable artificial intelligence. In the median, the models project mostly less rain-on-snow floods in Germany in the future and an overall lower importance of snowmelt. The average and strongest rain-on-snow floods will have a higher magnitude. The trends found for the individual climate models can vary considerably.
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