Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5609-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Composition, frequency, and severity of future rain-on-snow floods in Germany
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- Final revised paper (published on 05 Nov 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 10 Nov 2025)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3532', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Nov 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Christian Czakay, 16 Apr 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3532', Anonymous Referee #2, 05 Mar 2026
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Christian Czakay, 16 Apr 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (28 Apr 2026) by Paolo Tarolli
AR by Christian Czakay on behalf of the Authors (23 Jun 2026)
Author's response
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (14 Jul 2026) by Paolo Tarolli
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Aug 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (02 Sep 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (26 Sep 2026) by Paolo Tarolli
AR by Christian Czakay on behalf of the Authors (03 Oct 2026)
Author's response
Manuscript
This study investigates how climate conditions may impact the rain-on-snow (ROS) floods in Germany using an LSTM model trained on downscaled climate projections and explainable artificial intelligence techniques. The results suggest that while ROS flood frequency will decrease in most regions, the severity of extreme ROS floods is expected to increase across all major river basins, and the role of snowmelt in these floods will become less significant. Overall, this study is comprehensive and well-designed. However, I still have several questions and suggestions for improving the current work.
1) The "magnitude" of floods is mentioned in the title. However, the absolute magnitudes of floods are represented by the relative ranks.
2) It is suggested to clearly define the “trans-basin” floods. How to distinguish whether the flood is "trans-basin" or "within-basin"?
3) Lines 5 and 82: The LSTM model may not be the state-of-art deep learning approach nowadays. It would be better to compare its performance to that of the emerging alternatives, e.g., physics-informed deep learning, and the ensemble-based approach is also beneficial given the limitations of any single deep learning model.
4) Lines 18, 471-472, and 523-524: The conclusion that the discrepancy is mainly due to different snow dynamics in climate models should be supported by more detailed arguments and evidence.
5) It would be better to make the Introduction Section more concise and to clearly state the research gaps and study objectives.
6) Figure 1 and the other maps: It is suggested to add a north arrow and a scale bar.
7) Line 98: How to define the "subsurface runoff" and the "day length"?
8) Line 108: The evaluation metric, NSE, has some inherent limitations. Also, given the sampling uncertainty and measurement errors in both temporal and spatial data, it is suggested to present the values of metrics through a statistical distribution instead of a fixed number for a single evaluation period and to apply the metric to the variable of interest like specific flood peaks. The authors can refer to the article below for more information about the limitations of some commonly used evaluation metrics in hydrology.
Reference: “Beyond a fixed number: Investigating uncertainty in popular evaluation metrics of ensemble flood modeling using bootstrapping analysis” (https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12982)
9) Table 1: Could you add a reference for the criterion, "SWE>15mm"?
10) Line 230: How about the potential impacts of human activities on the other gauges? Any thoughts about how to incorporate those infrastructures into the modeling process, especially for the urban areas?
11) Figures 3, 7, 8, and 9: The horizontal axis, "Stations", was sorted by different criteria, such as the mean NSE and the median number of ROS floods. Is it possible to keep it consistent? So it is relatively easy to identify each gauge station.
12) Figure 8: Please add the denotation for the shaded areas to the figure caption.
13) Line 370: It would be better to specify the exact p-value rather than "P<0.05".
14) Line 479: Is it "GMCs" or "GCMs"?