Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5573-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5573-2026
Research article
 | 
03 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 03 Nov 2026

Persistence of scour at bridges using stochastic simulations

Alonso Pizarro, Oscar Link, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6530', Panayiotis Dimitriadis, 23 Mar 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Alonso Pizarro, 02 Jun 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6530', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 Jun 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Alonso Pizarro, 18 Jul 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (28 Aug 2026) by David J. Peres
AR by Alonso Pizarro on behalf of the Authors (08 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (16 Sep 2026) by David J. Peres
RR by Panayiotis Dimitriadis (26 Sep 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Oct 2026) by David J. Peres
AR by Alonso Pizarro on behalf of the Authors (16 Oct 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (26 Oct 2026) by David J. Peres
AR by Alonso Pizarro on behalf of the Authors (26 Oct 2026)
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Short summary
We explored why bridge foundations erode over time and why floods alone do not explain this risk. Using many simulated river flows linked to a model that includes erosion and sediment refilling, we found that scour is highly variable, persistent, and only weakly linked to flood extremes. Sediment coming from upstream strongly alters erosion patterns. These results show that common design methods can misjudge risk, highlighting the need to account for uncertainty in safer bridge design.
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