Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4611-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4611-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Research article
 | 
28 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 28 Sep 2026

Reliability analysis method for soil slopes permanent displacement under mainshock–aftershock sequences

Tianyi Wang, Chengda Zhang, Jiangwei Zhang, Su Chen, and Zhijun Dai

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Latest update: 28 Sep 2026
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Short summary
Earthquakes are often followed by aftershocks, which are frequently the decisive trigger for landslides. While current research mainly focuses on mainshock-induced landslides but overlooks aftershocks. This study develops a reliability analysis method for seismic sequences using the Probability Density Evolution Method. The method effectively captures the role of aftershocks and enables more accurate assessment of slope performance, offering significant value for earthquake disaster prevention.
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