Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3815-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3815-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
Research article
 | 
14 Aug 2026
Research article |  | 14 Aug 2026

Modeling the combined effects of the 2023 Türkiye–Syria earthquake and an Atmospheric River event on landslide hazard

Hunter N. Jimenez, Erkan Istanbulluoglu, Tolga Gorum, Thomas A. Stanley, Pukar M. Amatya, Hakan Tanyas, Mehmet C. Demirel, Aykut Akgun, and Deniz Bozkurt

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Short summary
After a major earthquake struck near the Türkiye/Syria border in February 2023, a powerful storm brought intense rainfall to the region, triggering additional landslides. We used satellite data and a physics-based model to map probabilistic landslide hazard using both coseismic and hydrologic drivers. We also explored how the sequence of these disasters affected landslide risk. Finally, we offer a method for seasonal forecasting of landslide hazard in at-risk areas using the historic climate.
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