Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3761-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3761-2026
Research article
 | 
13 Aug 2026
Research article |  | 13 Aug 2026

Attribution of the record breaking 2025 European fire season to climate change

Theodore R. Keeping, Mariam Zachariah, Olivia Haas, Manolis Grillakis, Clair Barnes, Gareth D. Clay, Bikem Ekberzade, Orjeta Jaupaj, Andreia Ribeiro, Ricardo Trigo, Apostolos Voulgarakis, and Friederike E. L. Otto

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1193', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 May 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Theodore Keeping, 26 Jun 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1193', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 May 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Theodore Keeping, 26 Jun 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (30 Jun 2026) by Ugur Öztürk
AR by Theodore Keeping on behalf of the Authors (02 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Jul 2026) by Ugur Öztürk
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (10 Jul 2026) by Ugur Öztürk
AR by Theodore Keeping on behalf of the Authors (16 Jul 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
2025 broke wildfire records across European regions. For five regions, we identify the weather, vegetation and management conditions that drove these extreme fires. We found the change in the likelihood and intensity of similar driving “fire weather”, from before human-caused warming to present, and from now to a likely future climate. Summer drought and hot, dry and windy conditions have shifted rapidly, with 2025’s conditions no longer rare in some regions despite devastating fires.
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