Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2031-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2031-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Research article
 | 
08 May 2026
Research article |  | 08 May 2026

Non-stationary dynamics of compound climate extremes: a WRF-CMIP6-GAMLSS framework for southeastern China

Yinchi Zhang, Wanling Xu, Chao Deng, Shao Sun, Miaomiao Ma, Jianhui Wei, Ying Chen, Yi Wang, Lu Gao, and Harald Kunstmann

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Short summary
Most studies of compound extremes assume stationary climate conditions. Here, we combine high-resolution regional climate modeling with non-stationary statistical methods to assess future changes in compound extremes over southeastern China. Our results demonstrate that non-stationary models more accurately capture shifts in the evolution of these events, suggesting that conventional approaches may systematically underestimate future risks.
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