Articles | Volume 26, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1105-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1105-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A thorough review of the 5 May 1990 Potenza (Southern Italy) earthquake: constraints from macroseismology and insights from hydrology
Andrea Antonucci
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Milano, Italy
Corrado Castellano
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Roma, Italy
Luigi Cucci
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Roma, Italy
Andrea Tertulliani
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Roma, Italy
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The earthquake effects undocumented at 228 Italian localities were calculated through a probabilistic approach starting from the values obtained through the use of an intensity prediction equation, taking into account the intensity data documented at close localities for a given earthquake. The results showed some geographical dependencies and correlations with the intensity levels investigated.
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We present a probabilistic approach for integrating incomplete intensity distributions by means of the Bayesian combination of estimates provided by intensity prediction equations (IPEs) and data documented at nearby localities, accounting for the relevant uncertainties. The performance of the proposed methodology is tested at 28 Italian localities with long and rich seismic histories and for the strong 1980 and 2009 earthquakes in Italy. An application of this approach is also illustrated.
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The earthquake effects undocumented at 228 Italian localities were calculated through a probabilistic approach starting from the values obtained through the use of an intensity prediction equation, taking into account the intensity data documented at close localities for a given earthquake. The results showed some geographical dependencies and correlations with the intensity levels investigated.
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EPICA is the 1000–1899 catalogue compiled for the European Seismic Hazard Model 2020 and contains 5703 earthquakes with Mw ≥ 4.0. It relies on the data of the European Archive of Historical Earthquake Data (AHEAD), both macroseismic intensities from historical seismological studies and parameters from regional catalogues. For each earthquake, the most representative datasets were selected and processed in order to derive harmonised parameters, both from intensity data and parametric catalogues.
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We present a probabilistic approach for integrating incomplete intensity distributions by means of the Bayesian combination of estimates provided by intensity prediction equations (IPEs) and data documented at nearby localities, accounting for the relevant uncertainties. The performance of the proposed methodology is tested at 28 Italian localities with long and rich seismic histories and for the strong 1980 and 2009 earthquakes in Italy. An application of this approach is also illustrated.
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Short summary
We present a revised and comprehensive macroseismic dataset of the 5 May 1990 earthquake that occurred in southern Italy (Mw 5.77). By re-evaluating all sources, we compiled a new dataset of 1393 macroseismic data points. This revised dataset shows a general decrease in higher intensity values compared to previous assessments. Additionally, we collect extensive observations of seismically-induced hydrological changes.
We present a revised and comprehensive macroseismic dataset of the 5 May 1990 earthquake that...
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